Dalibor Svrcina vs Olle Wallin
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 17:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Dalibor Svrcina
Dalibor …: 81,5% Olle …: 18,5%
¿Por qué Dalibor Svrcina?
UTR 14,75 vs 13,64 (+1,11) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Dalibor … Olle … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,08 7,00 92,3%
Gamdom 1,08 8,00 92,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,23 5,40 81,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Dalibor …: -5,1% Olle …: +5,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dalibor Svrcina
Ranking #96
UTR Rating 14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #128
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Olle Wallin
Ranking #408
UTR Rating 13,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #570
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 312,0000
rank_ratio 4,2500
log_rank_ratio 1,4469
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 527,0000
best_rank_diff 316,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12,8571
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 10,7215
surface_matches_ratio 5,8333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,8571
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,5385
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,0000
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2571
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,6900
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -9,5510
first_serve_won_diff -1,3000
second_serve_won_diff -4,4000
bp_saved_diff -4,7000
bp_converted_diff 5,7000
aces_per_match_diff -3,7905
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1333
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 22,2222
momentum_diff -20,2222
weighted_momentum_diff -10,6417
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 19,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 96,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 13,1346
serve_consistency_p2 2,7152
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 18,6032
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1834
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3120
elite_surface_amplifier 25,7143
UTR
utr_diff 1,1100
utr_p1 0,7941
utr_p2 0,6635
utr_advantage 7,8197
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25645
API ID 15495983
Gamdom ID 665674
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25645,
    "api_id": 15495983,
    "gamdom_id": 665674,
    "player1": "Dalibor Svrcina",
    "player2": "Olle Wallin",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T13:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0833333333333333,
      "p2": 7.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.08,
      "p2": 8.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.08,
      "p2": 7.8
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8147,
    "prob_p2": 0.1853,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8147,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 96,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 128,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 408,
      "utr_singles": 13.64,
      "utr_ranking": 570,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 128,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.64,
      "ranking": 570,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7941176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.6635294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 1.1099999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 4.25,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.222222222222225,
    "points_diff": 527,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.700000000000003,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.1333333333333333,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -20.222222222222225,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 7.819654808030993,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 316,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.4469189829363254,
    "rank_advantage": 312,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 12.857142857142854,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.699999999999996,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": -9.550952380952374,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.7904761904761903,
    "combined_confidence": 0.69,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.3000000000000114,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2571428571428571,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.134623310477794,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.7151976074973665,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 18.60324406632418,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.53846153846154,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.399999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.833333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -10.641666666666666,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 25.714285714285708,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 19,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 96,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1834285714285715,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.31200000000000006,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.721538461538461,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}