Alexandre Muller vs Alex Molcan
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 17:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexandre Muller
Alexandre …: 55,0% Alex …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Alexandre Muller?
UTR 15,09 vs 14,60 (+0,49) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexandre … Alex … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 2,75 71,4%
Gamdom 1,42 2,90 70,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,82 2,22 55,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexandre …: -11,3% Alex …: +11,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexandre Muller
Ranking #49
UTR Rating 15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #80
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Alex Molcan
Ranking #200
UTR Rating 14,60 Pro
UTR Ranking #150
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 151,0000
rank_ratio 4,0816
log_rank_ratio 1,4065
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 718,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -22,3810
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,2286
surface_matches_ratio 2,1000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 47,6190
surface_wr_p2 70,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 64,2857
p1_surface_matches 21,0000
p2_surface_matches 10,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0476
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7000
p2_confidence 0,4333
combined_confidence 0,5667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,9557
first_serve_won_diff -1,9000
second_serve_won_diff -10,4000
bp_saved_diff 0,4000
bp_converted_diff -7,8000
aces_per_match_diff 1,0571
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 3,7260
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 17,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 24,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5823
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5556
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7500
serve_consistency_p1 5,9569
serve_consistency_p2 11,2503
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -31,4787
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1748
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3510
elite_surface_amplifier -44,7619
UTR
utr_diff 0,4900
utr_p1 0,8341
utr_p2 0,7765
utr_advantage 3,3008
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25646
API ID 15496494
Gamdom ID 665818
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25646,
    "api_id": 15496494,
    "gamdom_id": 665818,
    "player1": "Alexandre Muller",
    "player2": "Alex Molcan",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T13:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.9
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.45,
      "p2": 2.66
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.55,
    "prob_p2": 0.45,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.55,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 49,
      "utr_singles": 15.09,
      "utr_ranking": 80,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 200,
      "utr_singles": 14.6,
      "utr_ranking": 150,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.09,
      "ranking": 80,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.6,
      "ranking": 150,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8341176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.776470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.4900000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 4.081632653061225,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": 718,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.4000000000000057,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -6.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "surface_wr_p1": 47.61904761904761,
    "surface_wr_p2": 70.0,
    "utr_advantage": 3.300774671606603,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.40649706843741,
    "rank_advantage": 151,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -22.380952380952387,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.800000000000004,
    "p1_surface_matches": 21,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.9557142857142935,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5822784810126582,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.0571428571428574,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.9000000000000057,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.047619047619047616,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.956929167700004,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.250254546550792,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -31.478743912646806,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.28571428571429,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -10.400000000000006,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.1,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 3.725999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -44.76190476190477,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 17,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 24,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17480952380952391,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.351,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.228571428571431,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}