Arthur Rinderknech vs Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 18:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Rinderknech
Arthur …: 81,2% Norbert …: 18,8%
¿Por qué Arthur Rinderknech?
UTR 15,39 vs 14,31 (+1,08) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Arthur … Norbert … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,08 7,00 92,3%
Gamdom 1,16 5,40 86,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,23 5,32 81,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Arthur …: -5,4% Norbert …: +5,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arthur Rinderknech
Ranking #31
UTR Rating 15,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #32
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Norbert Gombos
Ranking #300
UTR Rating 14,31 Pro
UTR Ranking #234
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 269,0000
rank_ratio 9,6774
log_rank_ratio 2,2698
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1367,0000
best_rank_diff 54,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,7241
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,5118
surface_matches_ratio 3,6250
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,2759
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,4848
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,1429
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 8,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0345
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 0,4067
combined_confidence 0,6867
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 17,2100
first_serve_won_diff 7,8000
second_serve_won_diff -2,3000
bp_saved_diff 28,3000
bp_converted_diff -7,4000
aces_per_match_diff 7,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 9,6300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 19,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 96,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0818
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3750
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 5,8878
serve_consistency_p2 7,6160
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,9134
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2862
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2690
elite_surface_amplifier -5,1724
UTR
utr_diff 1,0800
utr_p1 0,8694
utr_p2 0,7424
utr_advantage 7,2727
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25647
API ID 15496491
Gamdom ID 665819
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25647,
    "api_id": 15496491,
    "gamdom_id": 665819,
    "player1": "Arthur Rinderknech",
    "player2": "Norbert Gombos",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T14:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0833333333333333,
      "p2": 7.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.16,
      "p2": 5.4
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.16,
      "p2": 4.87
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.812,
    "prob_p2": 0.188,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.812,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 31,
      "utr_singles": 15.39,
      "utr_ranking": 32,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 300,
      "utr_singles": 14.31,
      "utr_ranking": 234,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.39,
      "ranking": 32,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.31,
      "ranking": 234,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8694117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.7423529411764707,
    "utr_diff": 1.08,
    "rank_ratio": 9.67741935483871,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": 1367,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 28.299999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.275862068965516,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 7.2727272727272725,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 54,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.2697952701710546,
    "rank_advantage": 269,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.724137931034484,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.399999999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 8,
    "serve_quality_diff": 17.209999999999994,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0818181818181818,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 7.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6866666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.799999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.034482758620689655,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.887782306279905,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.616040588241266,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.9134401209845797,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.484848484848484,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.14285714285714,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.3000000000000043,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.625,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.629999999999995,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -5.172413793103452,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 19,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 96,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2862413793103449,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.269,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.511832611832609,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}