Fábián Marozsán vs Tommy Paul
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 15:10
08 Feb 2026, 15:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tommy Paul
Fábián …: 24,8%
Tommy …: 75,2%
¿Por qué Tommy Paul?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Fábián … | Tommy … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 4,04 | 1,33 | 24,8% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking
#46
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Tommy Paul
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
15,67 Pro
UTR Ranking
#15
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -24,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4783 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7376 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -785,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -28,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -16,4211 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,8951 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3158 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 68,4211 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,7241 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 65,2174 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0400 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,6684 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,3000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,9000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,2000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,3242 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8,8900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 16,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 14,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1456 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1093 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2727 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5305 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0813 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 12,1122 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0440 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1602 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9024 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25650
API ID
15496455
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25650,
"api_id": 15496455,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
"player2": "Tommy Paul",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-08T11:10:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2478,
"prob_p2": 0.7522,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7522,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 46,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 22,
"utr_singles": 15.67,
"utr_ranking": 15,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.67,
"ranking": 15,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9023529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.9023529411764706,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.4782608695652174,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -785,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.200000000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -5.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 68.42105263157895,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -28,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7375989431307791,
"rank_advantage": -24,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2727272727272727,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -16.421052631578945,
"bp_converted_diff": -12.100000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 25,
"p2_surface_matches": 19,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.668421052631572,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.145631067961165,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1093247588424437,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.324210526315789,
"combined_confidence": 0.7333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.299999999999997,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.04,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.5304977215365705,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.08128705219219,
"surface_rank_synergy": 12.11215106614753,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.724137931034484,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.21739130434783,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.8999999999999986,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3157894736842106,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.89,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 16,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04400000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16021052631578947,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.895052473763117,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}