Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 19:00
07 Feb 2026, 19:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Stefanos …: 67,4%
Rodrigo …: 32,6%
¿Por qué Stefanos Sakellaridis?
UTR 14,06 vs 14,09
(-0,03)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Stefanos … | Rodrigo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,59 | 2,38 | 62,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,48 | 3,07 | 67,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Stefanos …: +8,5%
Rodrigo …: -8,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Ranking
#275
UTR Rating
14,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#368
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (5p)
WR
/ = %
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Ranking
#222
UTR Rating
14,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#336
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -53,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8073 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2141 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -63,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -79,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 21,5385 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,8170 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3846 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 38,4615 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,4074 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 41,1765 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4200 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,7731 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,0615 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 15,4500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 96,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,8092 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,4548 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,6112 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1530 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1684 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7129 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7165 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,2131 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25672
API ID
15496138
Gamdom ID
665681
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25672,
"api_id": 15496138,
"gamdom_id": 665681,
"player1": "Stefanos Sakellaridis",
"player2": "Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5714285714285714,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.59,
"p2": 2.38
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.6,
"p2": 2.25
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.674,
"prob_p2": 0.326,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.674,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 275,
"utr_singles": 14.06,
"utr_ranking": 368,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 222,
"utr_singles": 14.09,
"utr_ranking": 336,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.06,
"ranking": 368,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.09,
"ranking": 336,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7129411764705883,
"utr_p2": 0.7164705882352941,
"utr_diff": -0.02999999999999936,
"rank_ratio": 0.8072727272727273,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": -63,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.299999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 18.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 38.46153846153847,
"utr_advantage": -0.21314387211367222,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -79,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.21409371579429187,
"rank_advantage": -53,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 21.538461538461533,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.200000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 13,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.773076923076928,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0615384615384613,
"combined_confidence": 0.42,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.1000000000000085,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.809214140646302,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.454846868501017,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.61124926326167,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.407407407407405,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 41.17647058823529,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.38461538461538464,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 15.45,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 96,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 10,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15300000000000002,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.16838461538461535,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.816993464052288,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}