Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alan Magadan
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 20:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos …: 82,7% Alan …: 17,3%
¿Por qué Stefanos Tsitsipas?
UTR 15,36 vs 13,25 (+2,11) — Ventaja clara
Stefanos …
Sin datos
Alan …
W53-L29
65% WR
vs UTR 12,7
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Stefanos … Alan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,02 19,00 98,0%
Gamdom 1,01 14,00 99,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,21 5,78 82,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Stefanos …: -12,2% Alan …: +12,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ranking #33
UTR Rating 15,36 Pro
UTR Ranking #41
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Alan Magadan
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,25 General
UTR Ranking #1095
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (9p)
WR / = %
Momentum & Forma UTR
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Sin datos UTR v4
Alan Magadan
Record 2025 53W - 29L (65%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,7
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 467,0000
rank_ratio 15,1515
log_rank_ratio 2,7181
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1495,0000
best_rank_diff 497,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,1250
surface_matches_ratio 5,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,0000
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,1667
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 20,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6667
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,5100
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 17,5900
first_serve_won_diff 5,0000
second_serve_won_diff 6,3000
bp_saved_diff 4,1000
bp_converted_diff 10,1000
aces_per_match_diff 6,6000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,4100
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 16,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 13,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2295
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 3,8414
serve_consistency_p2 4,7768
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 13,5905
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4170
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,4670
elite_surface_amplifier 15,0000
UTR
utr_diff 2,1100
utr_p1 0,8659
utr_p2 0,6176
utr_advantage 14,7501
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25673
API ID 15496140
Gamdom ID 665680
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25673,
    "api_id": 15496140,
    "gamdom_id": 665680,
    "player1": "Stefanos Tsitsipas",
    "player2": "Alan Magadan",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T16:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.02,
      "p2": 19.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.01,
      "p2": 14.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.02,
      "p2": 13.86
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8271,
    "prob_p2": 0.1729,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8271,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 33,
      "utr_singles": 15.36,
      "utr_ranking": 41,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.25,
      "utr_ranking": 1095,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 53,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 64.63414634146342,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.65,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.31,
          "opponent_name": "Peter Bertran"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.01,
          "opponent_name": "Jesse Flores"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.45,
          "opponent_name": "Juan Jose Bianchi"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.38,
          "opponent_name": "Taha Baadi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.81,
          "opponent_name": "Nicaise Muamba"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:05.052045+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.36,
      "ranking": 41,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.25,
      "ranking": 1095,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8658823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.6176470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 2.1099999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 15.151515151515152,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": 1495,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.100000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -20.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.00000000000001,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 14.750087382034248,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 497,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.7181005369557116,
    "rank_advantage": 467,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.000000000000007,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.100000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 20,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": 17.590000000000003,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2295081967213115,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 6.6,
    "combined_confidence": 0.51,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.8413854826176705,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.776831680203124,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 13.590502684778578,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.166666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.300000000000004,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.409999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 15.000000000000021,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 16,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.4169999999999999,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.46699999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.1249999999999987,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}