Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alan Magadan
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 20:10
07 Feb 2026, 20:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos …: 82,7%
Alan …: 17,3%
¿Por qué Stefanos Tsitsipas?
UTR 15,36 vs 13,25
(+2,11)
— Ventaja clara
Stefanos …
Sin datos
Alan …
W53-L29
65% WR
vs UTR 12,7
L1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Stefanos … | Alan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,02 | 19,00 | 98,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,01 | 14,00 | 99,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,21 | 5,78 | 82,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Stefanos …: -12,2%
Alan …: +12,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
15,36 Pro
UTR Ranking
#41
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Alan Magadan
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,25 General
UTR Ranking
#1095
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (9p)
WR
/ = %
Momentum & Forma UTR
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Sin datos UTR v4
Alan Magadan
Record 2025
53W - 29L (65%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,7
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 467,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 15,1515 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,7181 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1495,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 497,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,1250 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 5,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,1667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5100 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 17,5900 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 6,6000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,4100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 16,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 13,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2295 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,8414 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,7768 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 13,5905 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4170 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,4670 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 15,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 2,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8659 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6176 | |
| utr_advantage | 14,7501 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25673
API ID
15496140
Gamdom ID
665680
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25673,
"api_id": 15496140,
"gamdom_id": 665680,
"player1": "Stefanos Tsitsipas",
"player2": "Alan Magadan",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T16:10:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.02,
"p2": 19.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.01,
"p2": 14.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.02,
"p2": 13.86
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8271,
"prob_p2": 0.1729,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8271,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 33,
"utr_singles": 15.36,
"utr_ranking": 41,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.25,
"utr_ranking": 1095,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 53,
"utr_v4_losses": 29,
"utr_v4_wr": 64.63414634146342,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.65,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.31,
"opponent_name": "Peter Bertran"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.01,
"opponent_name": "Jesse Flores"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.45,
"opponent_name": "Juan Jose Bianchi"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.38,
"opponent_name": "Taha Baadi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.81,
"opponent_name": "Nicaise Muamba"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:05.052045+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.36,
"ranking": 41,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.25,
"ranking": 1095,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8658823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.6176470588235294,
"utr_diff": 2.1099999999999994,
"rank_ratio": 15.151515151515152,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"points_diff": 1495,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.100000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -20.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.00000000000001,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 14.750087382034248,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 497,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.7181005369557116,
"rank_advantage": 467,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.000000000000007,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.100000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 20,
"p2_surface_matches": 4,
"serve_quality_diff": 17.590000000000003,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2295081967213115,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 6.6,
"combined_confidence": 0.51,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.8413854826176705,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.776831680203124,
"surface_rank_synergy": 13.590502684778578,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.166666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.300000000000004,
"surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.409999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 15.000000000000021,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 16,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.4169999999999999,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.46699999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.1249999999999987,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}