Chris Rodesch vs Vladyslav Orlov
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 15:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Chris Rodesch
Chris …: 85,1% Vladyslav …: 15,0%
¿Por qué Chris Rodesch?
UTR 14,63 vs 13,56 (+1,07) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Chris … Vladyslav … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,18 6,69 85,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Chris Rodesch
Ranking #138
UTR Rating 14,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #146
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR / = %
Vladyslav Orlov
Ranking #499
UTR Rating 13,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #640
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 361,0000
rank_ratio 3,6159
log_rank_ratio 1,2854
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 372,0000
best_rank_diff 212,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 60,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,5837
surface_matches_ratio 5,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,2126
surface_wr_p2_stable 38,4615
p1_surface_matches 5,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3667
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 51,5900
first_serve_won_diff 58,8000
second_serve_won_diff 63,3000
bp_saved_diff 56,0000
bp_converted_diff 33,3000
aces_per_match_diff 1,6000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 42,8571
momentum_diff -4,8571
weighted_momentum_diff -0,8129
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 25,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 313,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,0767
serve_consistency_p2 0,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 77,1211
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2610
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1390
elite_surface_amplifier 60,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,0700
utr_p1 0,7800
utr_p2 0,6541
utr_advantage 7,5913
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25674
API ID 15495883
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25674,
    "api_id": 15495883,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Chris Rodesch",
    "player2": "Vladyslav Orlov",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-08T11:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8505,
    "prob_p2": 0.1495,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8505,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 138,
      "utr_singles": 14.63,
      "utr_ranking": 146,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 499,
      "utr_singles": 13.56,
      "utr_ranking": 640,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.63,
      "ranking": 146,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.56,
      "ranking": 640,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7800000000000001,
    "utr_p2": 0.6541176470588236,
    "utr_diff": 1.0700000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 3.6159420289855073,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
    "points_diff": 372,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 56.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -4.857142857142861,
    "p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 7.5913444483859545,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 212,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.285352410594314,
    "rank_advantage": 361,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 60.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 33.3,
    "p1_surface_matches": 5,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 51.59,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.6,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 58.8,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.076748981841146,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 0.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 77.12114463565884,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.212560386473434,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 38.46153846153847,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 63.3,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.8128571428571405,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 60.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 25,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 313,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.261,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.139,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.583673974978322,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}