Hugo Grenier vs Jan Choinski
Rotterdam | Hard | Qualification Round 1
07 Feb 2026, 14:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hugo Grenier
Hugo …: 78,5% Jan …: 21,5%
¿Por qué Hugo Grenier?
UTR 14,52 vs 14,61 (-0,09) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hugo … Jan … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,68 2,06 59,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,27 4,64 78,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hugo Grenier
Ranking #189
UTR Rating 14,52 Pro
UTR Ranking #169
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 36/60 = 60,0%
Jan Choinski
Ranking #125
UTR Rating 14,61 Pro
UTR Ranking #147
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 4/13 = 30,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -64,0000
rank_ratio 0,6614
log_rank_ratio -0,4134
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -174,0000
best_rank_diff 28,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 29,2308
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 17,7396
surface_matches_ratio 4,6154
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 30,7692
surface_wr_p1_stable 59,3750
surface_wr_p2_stable 35,2941
p1_surface_matches 60,0000
p2_surface_matches 13,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4733
combined_confidence 0,7367
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 11,8424
first_serve_won_diff 5,0386
second_serve_won_diff 0,6923
bp_saved_diff 2,3968
bp_converted_diff -2,4586
aces_per_match_diff 4,5577
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff 28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 19,9800
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4348
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 3,9562
serve_consistency_p2 7,3522
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -12,0850
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1640
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2563
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0900
utr_p1 0,7671
utr_p2 0,7776
utr_advantage -0,6179
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25686
API ID 15498325
Gamdom ID 667415
Torneo Rotterdam
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25686,
    "api_id": 15498325,
    "gamdom_id": 667415,
    "player1": "Hugo Grenier",
    "player2": "Jan Choinski",
    "tournament": "Rotterdam",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-02-07T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.68,
      "p2": 2.06
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.13
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7846,
    "prob_p2": 0.2154,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7846,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 189,
      "utr_singles": 14.52,
      "utr_ranking": 169,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 36,
      "wr_surface_total": 60,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 125,
      "utr_singles": 14.61,
      "utr_ranking": 147,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 30.76923076923077,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.52,
      "ranking": 169,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.61,
      "ranking": 147,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7670588235294117,
    "utr_p2": 0.7776470588235294,
    "utr_diff": -0.08999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6613756613756614,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": -174,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.3967948717948673,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 30.76923076923077,
    "utr_advantage": -0.6179196704428415,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 28,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.41343327775734123,
    "rank_advantage": -64,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 29.23076923076923,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.458589743589748,
    "p1_surface_matches": 60,
    "p2_surface_matches": 13,
    "serve_quality_diff": 11.842371794871795,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.5576923076923075,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.038589743589753,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.956155899162933,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.352228674397619,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -12.084972734445358,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.375,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 35.294117647058826,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.6923076923076934,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.615384615384615,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 19.979999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16399999999999992,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.25630769230769224,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.739583333333332,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}