Hugo Grenier vs Jan Choinski
Rotterdam | Hard | Qualification Round 1
07 Feb 2026, 14:00
07 Feb 2026, 14:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hugo Grenier
Hugo …: 78,5%
Jan …: 21,5%
¿Por qué Hugo Grenier?
UTR 14,52 vs 14,61
(-0,09)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hugo … | Jan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,68 | 2,06 | 59,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,27 | 4,64 | 78,5% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hugo Grenier
Ranking
#189
UTR Rating
14,52 Pro
UTR Ranking
#169
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
36/60 = 60,0%
Jan Choinski
Ranking
#125
UTR Rating
14,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#147
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
4/13 = 30,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -64,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6614 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4134 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -174,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 28,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 29,2308 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 17,7396 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4,6154 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 30,7692 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59,3750 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 35,2941 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 60,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7367 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,8424 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,0386 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,6923 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,3968 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,4586 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,5577 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 19,9800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4348 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,9562 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,3522 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -12,0850 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1640 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2563 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7671 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7776 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,6179 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25686
API ID
15498325
Gamdom ID
667415
Torneo
Rotterdam
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25686,
"api_id": 15498325,
"gamdom_id": 667415,
"player1": "Hugo Grenier",
"player2": "Jan Choinski",
"tournament": "Rotterdam",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-02-07T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.68,
"p2": 2.06
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.13
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7846,
"prob_p2": 0.2154,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7846,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 189,
"utr_singles": 14.52,
"utr_ranking": 169,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 36,
"wr_surface_total": 60,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 125,
"utr_singles": 14.61,
"utr_ranking": 147,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 30.76923076923077,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 169,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 147,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": -0.08999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 0.6613756613756614,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": -174,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.3967948717948673,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 28.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 30.76923076923077,
"utr_advantage": -0.6179196704428415,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 28,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.41343327775734123,
"rank_advantage": -64,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 29.23076923076923,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.458589743589748,
"p1_surface_matches": 60,
"p2_surface_matches": 13,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.842371794871795,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.5576923076923075,
"combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.038589743589753,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.956155899162933,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.352228674397619,
"surface_rank_synergy": -12.084972734445358,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.375,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 35.294117647058826,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.6923076923076934,
"surface_matches_ratio": 4.615384615384615,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 19.979999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16399999999999992,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.25630769230769224,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.739583333333332,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}