Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thijs Boogaard
Rotterdam | Hard | Qualification Round 1
07 Feb 2026, 15:10
07 Feb 2026, 15:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Roberto Bautista Agut
Roberto …: 89,3%
Thijs …: 10,7%
¿Por qué Roberto Bautista Agut?
UTR 15,25 vs 13,77
(+1,48)
— Ligera ventaja
Roberto …
Sin datos
Thijs …
W28-L11
72% WR
vs UTR 13,0
W4
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Roberto … | Thijs … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,22 | 3,85 | 82,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,12 | 9,36 | 89,3% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roberto Bautista Agut
Ranking
#89
UTR Rating
15,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
4/14 = 28,6%
Thijs Boogaard
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,77 Junior
UTR Ranking
#3
Forma L5
25% (4p)
Forma L10
25% (4p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Roberto Bautista Agut
Sin datos UTR v4
Thijs Boogaard
Record 2025
28W - 11L (72%)
Racha
4W
UTR Oponentes
13,0
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 411,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 5,6180 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,7260 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 670,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 491,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,7111 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 7,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 26,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,8529 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,2929 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 20,2357 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -18,4714 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 29,1429 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,7143 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,0500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,6122 | |
| momentum_diff | -0,6122 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,1093 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 242,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5672 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,8692 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,8204 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 49,3135 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,6253 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0890 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 57,1429 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,4800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8529 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6788 | |
| utr_advantage | 10,1999 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25689
API ID
15498469
Gamdom ID
667418
Torneo
Rotterdam
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25689,
"api_id": 15498469,
"gamdom_id": 667418,
"player1": "Roberto Bautista Agut",
"player2": "Thijs Boogaard",
"tournament": "Rotterdam",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-02-07T11:10:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.22,
"p2": 3.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.22,
"p2": 4.0
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8932,
"prob_p2": 0.1068,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8932,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 89,
"utr_singles": 15.25,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.77,
"utr_ranking": 3,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 28,
"utr_v4_losses": 11,
"utr_v4_wr": 71.7948717948718,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.01,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Lachlan Gaskell"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "TAKAHIRO KAWAGUCHI"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.42,
"opponent_name": "Andrew Johnson"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.24,
"opponent_name": "William Rejchtman Vinciguerra"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.88,
"opponent_name": "Jordan Lee"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:47.899763+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 25.0,
"form_l10_wr": 25.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.25,
"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.77,
"ranking": 3,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.6788235294117646,
"utr_diff": 1.4800000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 5.617977528089888,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.612244897959183,
"points_diff": 670,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -18.471428571428575,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.04999999999999999,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -0.612244897959183,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 28.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 10.199862164024813,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 491,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.725971728690052,
"rank_advantage": 411,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 28.57142857142857,
"bp_converted_diff": 29.142857142857142,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.85285714285714,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5671641791044776,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.7142857142857144,
"combined_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.2928571428571445,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.869238904926873,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.8204127414171367,
"surface_rank_synergy": 49.31347796257291,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 26.666666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": 20.23571428571428,
"surface_matches_ratio": 7.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.10928571428571132,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 57.14285714285714,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 242,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.6252857142857143,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08899999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.7111111111111104,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}