Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thijs Boogaard
Rotterdam | Hard | Qualification Round 1
07 Feb 2026, 15:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Roberto Bautista Agut
Roberto …: 89,3% Thijs …: 10,7%
¿Por qué Roberto Bautista Agut?
UTR 15,25 vs 13,77 (+1,48) — Ligera ventaja
Roberto …
Sin datos
Thijs …
W28-L11
72% WR
vs UTR 13,0
W4
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Roberto … Thijs … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,22 3,85 82,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,12 9,36 89,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roberto Bautista Agut
Ranking #89
UTR Rating 15,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 4/14 = 28,6%
Thijs Boogaard
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,77 Junior
UTR Ranking #3
Forma L5 25% (4p)
Forma L10 25% (4p)
WR Hard 0/2 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Roberto Bautista Agut
Sin datos UTR v4
Thijs Boogaard
Record 2025 28W - 11L (72%)
Racha 4W
UTR Oponentes 13,0
Últimos 5:
W W W W L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 411,0000
rank_ratio 5,6180
log_rank_ratio 1,7260
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 670,0000
best_rank_diff 491,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 28,5714
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,7111
surface_matches_ratio 7,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 28,5714
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 33,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 26,6667
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4286
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,4067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,8529
first_serve_won_diff -5,2929
second_serve_won_diff 20,2357
bp_saved_diff -18,4714
bp_converted_diff 29,1429
aces_per_match_diff 1,7143
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,0500
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 30,6122
momentum_diff -0,6122
weighted_momentum_diff 0,1093
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 242,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5672
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,8692
serve_consistency_p2 2,8204
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 49,3135
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,6253
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0890
elite_surface_amplifier 57,1429
UTR
utr_diff 1,4800
utr_p1 0,8529
utr_p2 0,6788
utr_advantage 10,1999
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25689
API ID 15498469
Gamdom ID 667418
Torneo Rotterdam
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25689,
    "api_id": 15498469,
    "gamdom_id": 667418,
    "player1": "Roberto Bautista Agut",
    "player2": "Thijs Boogaard",
    "tournament": "Rotterdam",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-02-07T11:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.22,
      "p2": 3.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.22,
      "p2": 4.0
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8932,
    "prob_p2": 0.1068,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8932,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 89,
      "utr_singles": 15.25,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.77,
      "utr_ranking": 3,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 28,
      "utr_v4_losses": 11,
      "utr_v4_wr": 71.7948717948718,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.01,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Lachlan Gaskell"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "TAKAHIRO KAWAGUCHI"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.42,
          "opponent_name": "Andrew Johnson"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.24,
          "opponent_name": "William Rejchtman Vinciguerra"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.88,
          "opponent_name": "Jordan Lee"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:47.899763+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.25,
      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.77,
      "ranking": 3,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8529411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.6788235294117646,
    "utr_diff": 1.4800000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 5.617977528089888,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.612244897959183,
    "points_diff": 670,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -18.471428571428575,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.04999999999999999,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -0.612244897959183,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 28.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 10.199862164024813,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 491,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.725971728690052,
    "rank_advantage": 411,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 28.57142857142857,
    "bp_converted_diff": 29.142857142857142,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.85285714285714,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5671641791044776,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.7142857142857144,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.2928571428571445,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.869238904926873,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.8204127414171367,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 49.31347796257291,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 26.666666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 20.23571428571428,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 7.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.10928571428571132,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 57.14285714285714,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 242,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.6252857142857143,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08899999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.7111111111111104,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}