Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Jordan Thompson
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 20:00
07 Feb 2026, 20:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jordan Thompson
Alvaro …: 29,7%
Jordan …: 70,4%
¿Por qué Jordan Thompson?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alvaro … | Jordan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,00 | 57,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,69 | 2,13 | 59,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,37 | 1,42 | 29,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alvaro …: -24,0%
Jordan …: +24,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Ranking
#201
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Jordan Thompson
Ranking
#110
UTR Rating
15,03 Pro
UTR Ranking
#88
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -91,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5473 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6028 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -250,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -149,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,3728 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,8947 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -67,2600 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -71,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -56,7000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -61,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -32,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7,3750 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -16,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -15,9500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 25,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 17,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8077 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7778 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,4355 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,7341 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 26,3736 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4090 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1535 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8271 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8271 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25692
API ID
15498415
Gamdom ID
667426
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25692,
"api_id": 15498415,
"gamdom_id": 667426,
"player1": "Alvaro Guillen Meza",
"player2": "Jordan Thompson",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T16:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.7272727272727273,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.69,
"p2": 2.13
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.69,
"p2": 2.09
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2965,
"prob_p2": 0.7035,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7035,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 201,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 110,
"utr_singles": 15.03,
"utr_ranking": 88,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.03,
"ranking": 88,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8270588235294117,
"utr_p2": 0.8270588235294117,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.5472636815920398,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": -250,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -61.7,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -16.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 43.75,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -149,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6028245422666596,
"rank_advantage": -91,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7777777777777778,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -43.75,
"bp_converted_diff": -32.3,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"serve_quality_diff": -67.26,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8076923076923077,
"aces_per_match_diff": -7.375,
"combined_confidence": 0.41666666666666663,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -71.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.435540518331798,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.734090380685266,
"surface_rank_synergy": 26.37357372416636,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.89473684210527,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -56.7,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -15.949999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 25,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 17,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.40900000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.15349999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.3728070175438605,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}