Adrian Mannarino vs Martin Damm Jr
Montpellier | Hard | Semifinals
07 Feb 2026, 18:00
07 Feb 2026, 18:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martin Damm Jr
Adrian …: 46,4%
Martin …: 53,6%
¿Por qué Martin Damm Jr?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Adrian … | Martin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,67 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,33 | 1,61 | 42,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,16 | 1,87 | 46,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Adrian …: +3,2%
Martin …: -3,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adrian Mannarino
Ranking
#70
UTR Rating
15,23 Pro
UTR Ranking
#57
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
15/36 = 41,7%
Martin Damm Jr
Ranking
#160
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
15/23 = 65,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 90,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,2857 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8267 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 437,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 143,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -23,5507 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -18,0756 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5652 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,2174 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,9630 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -23,8422 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -10,0087 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,1761 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,4319 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,8717 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -8,6425 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7532 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,5625 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0909 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,1088 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3130 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -19,4689 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1733 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2422 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -23,5507 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8506 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8506 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25694
API ID
15441209
Gamdom ID
638732
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25694,
"api_id": 15441209,
"gamdom_id": 638732,
"player1": "Adrian Mannarino",
"player2": "Martin Damm Jr",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-02-07T14:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.33,
"p2": 1.61
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.29,
"p2": 1.61
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4639,
"prob_p2": 0.5361,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5361,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 70,
"utr_singles": 15.23,
"utr_ranking": 57,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 160,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.23,
"ranking": 57,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8505882352941176,
"utr_p2": 0.8505882352941176,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 2.2857142857142856,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 437,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.4318840579710042,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.21739130434783,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 143,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8266785731844679,
"rank_advantage": 90,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.09090909090909091,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -23.550724637681157,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.87173913043479,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": -23.84219806763285,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7531645569620253,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.5625,
"aces_per_match_diff": -8.642512077294686,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -10.008695652173927,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.10883844275783,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.3130195546556855,
"surface_rank_synergy": -19.468879440938554,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.96296296296296,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.176086956521736,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.565217391304348,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -23.550724637681157,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17333333333333334,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.24217391304347835,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.075617283950617,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}