Adrian Mannarino vs Martin Damm Jr
Montpellier | Hard | Semifinals
07 Feb 2026, 18:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martin Damm Jr
Adrian …: 46,4% Martin …: 53,6%
¿Por qué Martin Damm Jr?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Adrian … Martin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
Gamdom 2,33 1,61 42,9%
IA Fair Odds 2,16 1,87 46,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Adrian …: +3,2% Martin …: -3,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adrian Mannarino
Ranking #70
UTR Rating 15,23 Pro
UTR Ranking #57
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 15/36 = 41,7%
Martin Damm Jr
Ranking #160
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 15/23 = 65,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 90,0000
rank_ratio 2,2857
log_rank_ratio 0,8267
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 437,0000
best_rank_diff 143,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -23,5507
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -18,0756
surface_matches_ratio 1,5652
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 41,6667
surface_wr_p2 65,2174
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,9630
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -23,8422
first_serve_won_diff -10,0087
second_serve_won_diff -5,1761
bp_saved_diff -1,4319
bp_converted_diff 3,8717
aces_per_match_diff -8,6425
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7532
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,5625
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0909
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 11,1088
serve_consistency_p2 6,3130
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -19,4689
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1733
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2422
elite_surface_amplifier -23,5507
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8506
utr_p2 0,8506
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25694
API ID 15441209
Gamdom ID 638732
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25694,
    "api_id": 15441209,
    "gamdom_id": 638732,
    "player1": "Adrian Mannarino",
    "player2": "Martin Damm Jr",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-02-07T14:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.33,
      "p2": 1.61
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.29,
      "p2": 1.61
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4639,
    "prob_p2": 0.5361,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5361,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 70,
      "utr_singles": 15.23,
      "utr_ranking": 57,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 160,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.23,
      "ranking": 57,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8505882352941176,
    "utr_p2": 0.8505882352941176,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 2.2857142857142856,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 437,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.4318840579710042,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p2": 65.21739130434783,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 143,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.8266785731844679,
    "rank_advantage": 90,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.09090909090909091,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -23.550724637681157,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.87173913043479,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": -23.84219806763285,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7531645569620253,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.5625,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -8.642512077294686,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -10.008695652173927,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.10883844275783,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.3130195546556855,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -19.468879440938554,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.96296296296296,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.176086956521736,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.565217391304348,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -23.550724637681157,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17333333333333334,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.24217391304347835,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.075617283950617,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}