Luka Pavlovic vs Billy Harris
Rotterdam | Hard | Qualification Round 1
07 Feb 2026, 16:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Billy Harris
Luka …: 17,8% Billy …: 82,3%
¿Por qué Billy Harris?
UTR 14,21 vs 14,29 (-0,08) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Luka … Billy … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,25 1,33 30,8%
Gamdom 3,30 1,29 30,3%
IA Fair Odds 5,63 1,22 17,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Luka …: -11,3% Billy …: +11,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luka Pavlovic
Ranking #219
UTR Rating 14,21 Pro
UTR Ranking #270
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 1/3 = 33,3%
Billy Harris
Ranking #129
UTR Rating 14,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #241
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 30/54 = 55,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -90,0000
rank_ratio 0,5890
log_rank_ratio -0,5293
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -229,0000
best_rank_diff -83,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -22,2222
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,0158
surface_matches_ratio 0,0556
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 33,3333
surface_wr_p2 55,5556
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,1488
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,1724
p1_surface_matches 3,0000
p2_surface_matches 54,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3400
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6700
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,8098
first_serve_won_diff -3,8148
second_serve_won_diff -0,5722
bp_saved_diff 0,7648
bp_converted_diff 6,5463
aces_per_match_diff 3,9444
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 14,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 10,3250
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 26,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 5,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4706
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4583
serve_consistency_p1 6,9268
serve_consistency_p2 7,6222
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 11,7613
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0767
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0344
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0800
utr_p1 0,7306
utr_p2 0,7400
utr_advantage -0,5614
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25697
API ID 15498471
Gamdom ID 667416
Torneo Rotterdam
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25697,
    "api_id": 15498471,
    "gamdom_id": 667416,
    "player1": "Luka Pavlovic",
    "player2": "Billy Harris",
    "tournament": "Rotterdam",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-02-07T12:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.25,
      "p2": 1.3333333333333333
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.3,
      "p2": 1.29
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.34,
      "p2": 1.3
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1775,
    "prob_p2": 0.8225,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8225,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 219,
      "utr_singles": 14.21,
      "utr_ranking": 270,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 129,
      "utr_singles": 14.29,
      "utr_ranking": 241,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 30,
      "wr_surface_total": 54,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.21,
      "ranking": 270,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.29,
      "ranking": 241,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7305882352941178,
    "utr_p2": 0.7399999999999999,
    "utr_diff": -0.0799999999999983,
    "rank_ratio": 0.589041095890411,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": -229,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.7648148148148195,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 14.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
    "utr_advantage": -0.5614035087719179,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -83,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5292593254548287,
    "rank_advantage": -90,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4583333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -22.22222222222223,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.546296296296298,
    "p1_surface_matches": 3,
    "p2_surface_matches": 54,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.809814814814814,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.9444444444444438,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6699999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.8148148148148096,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.9267644437047675,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.622224061190111,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 11.76131834344064,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.14880952380952,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.172413793103445,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.5722222222222086,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.05555555555555555,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 10.325000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 26,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07666666666666677,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03444444444444439,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.01581486042693072,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}