Luka Pavlovic vs Billy Harris
Rotterdam | Hard | Qualification Round 1
07 Feb 2026, 16:20
07 Feb 2026, 16:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Billy Harris
Luka …: 17,8%
Billy …: 82,3%
¿Por qué Billy Harris?
UTR 14,21 vs 14,29
(-0,08)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Luka … | Billy … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,25 | 1,33 | 30,8% |
| Gamdom | 3,30 | 1,29 | 30,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 5,63 | 1,22 | 17,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Luka …: -11,3%
Billy …: +11,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luka Pavlovic
Ranking
#219
UTR Rating
14,21 Pro
UTR Ranking
#270
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
1/3 = 33,3%
Billy Harris
Ranking
#129
UTR Rating
14,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#241
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
30/54 = 55,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -90,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5890 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5293 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -229,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -83,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -22,2222 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,0158 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0556 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,1488 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,1724 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 54,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6700 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,8098 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,8148 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,5722 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,7648 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,5463 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,9444 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 14,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 10,3250 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 26,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4583 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,9268 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,6222 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 11,7613 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0767 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0344 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7306 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7400 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,5614 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25697
API ID
15498471
Gamdom ID
667416
Torneo
Rotterdam
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25697,
"api_id": 15498471,
"gamdom_id": 667416,
"player1": "Luka Pavlovic",
"player2": "Billy Harris",
"tournament": "Rotterdam",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-02-07T12:20:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.25,
"p2": 1.3333333333333333
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.3,
"p2": 1.29
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.34,
"p2": 1.3
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1775,
"prob_p2": 0.8225,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8225,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 219,
"utr_singles": 14.21,
"utr_ranking": 270,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 129,
"utr_singles": 14.29,
"utr_ranking": 241,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 54,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.21,
"ranking": 270,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.29,
"ranking": 241,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7305882352941178,
"utr_p2": 0.7399999999999999,
"utr_diff": -0.0799999999999983,
"rank_ratio": 0.589041095890411,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": -229,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.7648148148148195,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 14.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"utr_advantage": -0.5614035087719179,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -83,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5292593254548287,
"rank_advantage": -90,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4583333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -22.22222222222223,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.546296296296298,
"p1_surface_matches": 3,
"p2_surface_matches": 54,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.809814814814814,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.9444444444444438,
"combined_confidence": 0.6699999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.8148148148148096,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.9267644437047675,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.622224061190111,
"surface_rank_synergy": 11.76131834344064,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.14880952380952,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.172413793103445,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.5722222222222086,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.05555555555555555,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 10.325000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 26,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07666666666666677,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03444444444444439,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.01581486042693072,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}