Pablo Carreño Busta vs Roberto Carballés Baena
Rotterdam | Hard | Qualification Round 1
07 Feb 2026, 17:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Pablo Carreño Busta
Pablo …: 78,9% Roberto …: 21,1%
¿Por qué Pablo Carreño Busta?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Pablo … Roberto … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,27 4,73 78,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pablo Carreño Busta
Ranking #100
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 26/38 = 68,4%
Roberto Carballés Baena
Ranking #175
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 7/18 = 38,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 75,0000
rank_ratio 1,7500
log_rank_ratio 0,5596
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 273,0000
best_rank_diff 39,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 29,5322
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 20,6061
surface_matches_ratio 2,1111
surface_tournaments_won_diff 3,0000
surface_wr_p1 68,4211
surface_wr_p2 38,8889
surface_wr_p1_stable 66,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,9091
p1_surface_matches 38,0000
p2_surface_matches 18,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3684
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,6000
combined_confidence 0,8000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,3611
first_serve_won_diff 1,9257
second_serve_won_diff 6,3760
bp_saved_diff 1,8713
bp_converted_diff -2,1345
aces_per_match_diff -1,2573
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 17,3970
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 5,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8571
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2366
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 2,1860
serve_consistency_p2 13,9438
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 16,5267
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1092
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0361
elite_surface_amplifier 29,5322
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,0000
utr_p2 0,0000
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25700
API ID 15498467
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rotterdam
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25700,
    "api_id": 15498467,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Pablo Carre\u00f1o Busta",
    "player2": "Roberto Carball\u00e9s Baena",
    "tournament": "Rotterdam",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-02-07T13:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.41
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7888,
    "prob_p2": 0.2112,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7888,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 100,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 175,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 38.88888888888889,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.0,
    "utr_p2": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.75,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": 273,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.8713450292397553,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6,
    "surface_wr_p1": 68.42105263157895,
    "surface_wr_p2": 38.88888888888889,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 39,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5596157879354227,
    "rank_advantage": 75,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 29.532163742690052,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.134502923976605,
    "p1_surface_matches": 38,
    "p2_surface_matches": 18,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.36105263157893575,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2365591397849462,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.257309941520468,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.9257309941520333,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3684210526315789,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.185973610870124,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 13.943840476506397,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 16.526665082303413,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.909090909090914,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.376023391812865,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.111111111111111,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 17.397,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 29.532163742690052,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10921052631578954,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.036111111111111094,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 20.606060606060595,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}