Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Titouan Droguet
Montpellier | Hard | Semifinals
07 Feb 2026, 19:30
07 Feb 2026, 19:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Felix …: 90,9%
Titouan …: 9,1%
¿Por qué Felix Auger-Aliassime?
UTR 15,94 vs 14,53
(+1,41)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Felix … | Titouan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 4,00 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,23 | 4,20 | 81,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,10 | 11,03 | 90,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Felix …: +14,7%
Titouan …: -14,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
15,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#5
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
37/52 = 71,2%
Titouan Droguet
Ranking
#150
UTR Rating
14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#174
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 142,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 18,7500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,9312 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3322,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 125,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 14,4872 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 13,7605 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,7333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,1538 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69,6429 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,8824 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 52,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4231 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,1940 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,8359 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,1851 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,4428 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,4941 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,8282 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,4000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0871 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7600 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4286 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,3945 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,0725 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 42,4647 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0695 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2087 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 57,9487 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,4100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9341 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7682 | |
| utr_advantage | 9,2550 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25702
API ID
15441199
Gamdom ID
638728
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25702,
"api_id": 15441199,
"gamdom_id": 638728,
"player1": "Felix Auger-Aliassime",
"player2": "Titouan Droguet",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-02-07T15:30:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 4.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 4.09
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9093,
"prob_p2": 0.0907,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9093,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 8,
"utr_singles": 15.94,
"utr_ranking": 5,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.15384615384616,
"wr_surface_wins": 37,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 150,
"utr_singles": 14.53,
"utr_ranking": 174,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.94,
"ranking": 5,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.53,
"ranking": 174,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9341176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.768235294117647,
"utr_diff": 1.4100000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 18.75,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 3322,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.44282051282051,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -27.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 71.15384615384616,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.666666666666664,
"utr_advantage": 9.25500492287496,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 125,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.9311937524164198,
"rank_advantage": 142,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.76,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 14.487179487179496,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.494102564102569,
"p1_surface_matches": 52,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.194000000000003,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0870967741935484,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.8282051282051288,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 4,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.8358974358974223,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4230769230769231,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.394478343269025,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.0725342343194377,
"surface_rank_synergy": 42.464730002955854,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.64285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.88235294117647,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.1851282051282084,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.7333333333333334,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.399999999999977,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 57.948717948717984,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06953846153846155,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20866666666666667,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.760504201680668,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
},
"feature_importance": {}
}