Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Titouan Droguet
Montpellier | Hard | Semifinals
07 Feb 2026, 19:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Felix …: 90,9% Titouan …: 9,1%
¿Por qué Felix Auger-Aliassime?
UTR 15,94 vs 14,53 (+1,41) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Felix … Titouan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 4,00 80,0%
Gamdom 1,23 4,20 81,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,10 11,03 90,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Felix …: +14,7% Titouan …: -14,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ranking #8
UTR Rating 15,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #5
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 37/52 = 71,2%
Titouan Droguet
Ranking #150
UTR Rating 14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #174
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 142,0000
rank_ratio 18,7500
log_rank_ratio 2,9312
rank_tier_advantage 4,0000
points_diff 3322,0000
best_rank_diff 125,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 14,4872
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,7605
surface_matches_ratio 1,7333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 3,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,1538
surface_wr_p2 56,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 69,6429
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,8824
p1_surface_matches 52,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4231
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,1940
first_serve_won_diff -0,8359
second_serve_won_diff 3,1851
bp_saved_diff 8,4428
bp_converted_diff 3,4941
aces_per_match_diff 1,8282
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -7,4000
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0871
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7600
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4286
serve_consistency_p1 9,3945
serve_consistency_p2 3,0725
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 42,4647
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0695
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2087
elite_surface_amplifier 57,9487
UTR
utr_diff 1,4100
utr_p1 0,9341
utr_p2 0,7682
utr_advantage 9,2550
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25702
API ID 15441199
Gamdom ID 638728
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25702,
    "api_id": 15441199,
    "gamdom_id": 638728,
    "player1": "Felix Auger-Aliassime",
    "player2": "Titouan Droguet",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-02-07T15:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 4.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 4.09
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9093,
    "prob_p2": 0.0907,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9093,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 8,
      "utr_singles": 15.94,
      "utr_ranking": 5,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.15384615384616,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 52,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": 14.53,
      "utr_ranking": 174,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.94,
      "ranking": 5,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.53,
      "ranking": 174,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9341176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.768235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 1.4100000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 18.75,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 3322,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 8.44282051282051,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -27.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.15384615384616,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": 9.25500492287496,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 125,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.9311937524164198,
    "rank_advantage": 142,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.76,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 14.487179487179496,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.494102564102569,
    "p1_surface_matches": 52,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.194000000000003,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0870967741935484,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.8282051282051288,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 4,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.8358974358974223,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4230769230769231,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.394478343269025,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.0725342343194377,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 42.464730002955854,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.64285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.88235294117647,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.1851282051282084,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.7333333333333334,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.399999999999977,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 57.948717948717984,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06953846153846155,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.760504201680668,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}