Zsombor Piros vs Ethan Quinn
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 16:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ethan Quinn
Zsombor …: 42,2% Ethan …: 57,8%
¿Por qué Ethan Quinn?
UTR 14,93 vs 15,08 (-0,15) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Zsombor … Ethan … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 2,37 1,73 42,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zsombor Piros
Ranking #176
UTR Rating 14,93 Pro
UTR Ranking #96
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 38% (8p)
WR / = %
Ethan Quinn
Ranking #68
UTR Rating 15,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #90
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -108,0000
rank_ratio 0,3864
log_rank_ratio -0,9510
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -479,0000
best_rank_diff -42,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,3750
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,1045
surface_matches_ratio 0,1875
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 59,3750
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,1818
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,3333
p1_surface_matches 6,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3800
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6900
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8,0742
first_serve_won_diff -7,5000
second_serve_won_diff 0,1000
bp_saved_diff -6,3000
bp_converted_diff 11,6000
aces_per_match_diff -2,1771
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -46,1240
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 27,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 15,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3922
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9189
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3636
serve_consistency_p1 6,2670
serve_consistency_p2 4,6589
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,9154
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1080
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0142
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1500
utr_p1 0,8153
utr_p2 0,8329
utr_advantage -0,9997
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25710
API ID 15496454
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25710,
    "api_id": 15496454,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Zsombor Piros",
    "player2": "Ethan Quinn",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-08T12:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4221,
    "prob_p2": 0.5779,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5779,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 176,
      "utr_singles": 14.93,
      "utr_ranking": 96,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 37.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 68,
      "utr_singles": 15.08,
      "utr_ranking": 90,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.93,
      "ranking": 96,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.08,
      "ranking": 90,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8152941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.8329411764705883,
    "utr_diff": -0.15000000000000036,
    "rank_ratio": 0.38636363636363635,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -479,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.29999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -48.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.38,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 59.375,
    "utr_advantage": -0.9996667777407555,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -42,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.9509762898620451,
    "rank_advantage": -108,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.36363636363636365,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.375,
    "bp_converted_diff": 11.600000000000009,
    "p1_surface_matches": 6,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.074166666666663,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.39215686274509803,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.918918918918919,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.177083333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.69,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.499999999999993,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.266973994238029,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.658906580690604,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.915402717456672,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.18181818181819,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.10000000000000142,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.1875,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -46.12400000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 27,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 15,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10799999999999998,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.014249999999999985,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.10454545454545261,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}