Arthur Rinderknech vs Alex Molcan
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 17:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Rinderknech
Arthur …: 61,2% Alex …: 38,8%
¿Por qué Arthur Rinderknech?
UTR 15,39 vs 14,60 (+0,79) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Arthur … Alex … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,63 2,58 61,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arthur Rinderknech
Ranking #31
UTR Rating 15,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #32
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Alex Molcan
Ranking #200
UTR Rating 14,60 Pro
UTR Ranking #150
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 169,0000
rank_ratio 6,4516
log_rank_ratio 1,8643
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1240,0000
best_rank_diff 12,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -21,7241
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11,0606
surface_matches_ratio 2,9000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,2759
surface_wr_p2 70,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,4848
surface_wr_p2_stable 64,2857
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 10,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0345
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 0,4333
combined_confidence 0,7000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 18,2800
first_serve_won_diff 6,1000
second_serve_won_diff -3,9000
bp_saved_diff 12,8000
bp_converted_diff 0,4000
aces_per_match_diff 8,2000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,1100
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 20,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 25,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0818
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3750
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7500
serve_consistency_p1 5,8878
serve_consistency_p2 11,2503
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -40,5010
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1862
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3690
elite_surface_amplifier -43,4483
UTR
utr_diff 0,7900
utr_p1 0,8694
utr_p2 0,7765
utr_advantage 5,2684
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25713
API ID 15496570
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25713,
    "api_id": 15496570,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Arthur Rinderknech",
    "player2": "Alex Molcan",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-08T13:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.612,
    "prob_p2": 0.388,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.612,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 31,
      "utr_singles": 15.39,
      "utr_ranking": 32,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 200,
      "utr_singles": 14.6,
      "utr_ranking": 150,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.39,
      "ranking": 32,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.6,
      "ranking": 150,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8694117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.776470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.7900000000000009,
    "rank_ratio": 6.451612903225806,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": 1240,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 12.799999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.275862068965516,
    "surface_wr_p2": 70.0,
    "utr_advantage": 5.26842280760254,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 12,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.8643301620628903,
    "rank_advantage": 169,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -21.724137931034484,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.3999999999999986,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "serve_quality_diff": 18.279999999999994,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0818181818181818,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 8.2,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.099999999999994,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.034482758620689655,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.887782306279905,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.250254546550792,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -40.5009655896421,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.484848484848484,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.28571428571429,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.8999999999999986,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.9,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.1099999999999923,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -43.44827586206897,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 20,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 25,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1862413793103449,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.369,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.060606060606064,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}