Arthur Rinderknech vs Alex Molcan
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 17:40
08 Feb 2026, 17:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Rinderknech
Arthur …: 61,2%
Alex …: 38,8%
¿Por qué Arthur Rinderknech?
UTR 15,39 vs 14,60
(+0,79)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Arthur … | Alex … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1,63 | 2,58 | 61,2% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arthur Rinderknech
Ranking
#31
UTR Rating
15,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#32
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Alex Molcan
Ranking
#200
UTR Rating
14,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#150
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 169,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,4516 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,8643 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1240,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 12,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -21,7241 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,0606 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,9000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,2759 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,4848 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64,2857 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0345 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 18,2800 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,9000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 12,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 8,2000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,1100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0818 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,8878 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,2503 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -40,5010 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1862 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3690 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -43,4483 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8694 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7765 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,2684 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25713
API ID
15496570
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25713,
"api_id": 15496570,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Arthur Rinderknech",
"player2": "Alex Molcan",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-08T13:40:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.612,
"prob_p2": 0.388,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.612,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 31,
"utr_singles": 15.39,
"utr_ranking": 32,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 200,
"utr_singles": 14.6,
"utr_ranking": 150,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.39,
"ranking": 32,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.6,
"ranking": 150,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8694117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.776470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.7900000000000009,
"rank_ratio": 6.451612903225806,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": 1240,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 12.799999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -8.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.275862068965516,
"surface_wr_p2": 70.0,
"utr_advantage": 5.26842280760254,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 12,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.8643301620628903,
"rank_advantage": 169,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -21.724137931034484,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.3999999999999986,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"serve_quality_diff": 18.279999999999994,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0818181818181818,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 8.2,
"combined_confidence": 0.7,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.099999999999994,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.034482758620689655,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.887782306279905,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.250254546550792,
"surface_rank_synergy": -40.5009655896421,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.484848484848484,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.28571428571429,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.8999999999999986,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.9,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.1099999999999923,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -43.44827586206897,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 20,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 25,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1862413793103449,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.369,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.060606060606064,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}