Alexandre Muller vs Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 18:50
08 Feb 2026, 18:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexandre Muller
Alexandre …: 72,1%
Norbert …: 27,9%
¿Por qué Alexandre Muller?
UTR 15,09 vs 14,31
(+0,78)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexandre … | Norbert … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1,39 | 3,59 | 72,1% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexandre Muller
Ranking
#49
UTR Rating
15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#80
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Norbert Gombos
Ranking
#300
UTR Rating
14,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#234
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 251,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,1224 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,8120 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 845,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 42,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2,3810 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,2924 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,6250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47,6190 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,1429 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0476 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5533 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,0257 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8,8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 15,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -15,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,1429 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 12,2460 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 18,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 97,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5823 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5556 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,9569 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,6160 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,3142 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2748 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2510 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -7,1429 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8341 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7424 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,3061 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25714
API ID
15496569
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25714,
"api_id": 15496569,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alexandre Muller",
"player2": "Norbert Gombos",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-08T14:50:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7211,
"prob_p2": 0.2789,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7211,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 49,
"utr_singles": 15.09,
"utr_ranking": 80,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 300,
"utr_singles": 14.31,
"utr_ranking": 234,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.09,
"ranking": 80,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.31,
"ranking": 234,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8341176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.7423529411764707,
"utr_diff": 0.7799999999999994,
"rank_ratio": 6.122448979591836,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": 845,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 15.900000000000006,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 47.61904761904761,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 5.306122448979587,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 42,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.8119621765455745,
"rank_advantage": 251,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.3809523809523867,
"bp_converted_diff": -15.600000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 8,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.025714285714294,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5822784810126582,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.1428571428571428,
"combined_confidence": 0.5533333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.20000000000000284,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.047619047619047616,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.956929167700004,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.616040588241266,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.314195658441855,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.14285714285714,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.800000000000011,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.625,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 12.246000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -7.14285714285716,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 97,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2748095238095239,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.251,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.29238095238095,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}