Alexandre Muller vs Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 18:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexandre Muller
Alexandre …: 72,1% Norbert …: 27,9%
¿Por qué Alexandre Muller?
UTR 15,09 vs 14,31 (+0,78) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexandre … Norbert … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,39 3,59 72,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexandre Muller
Ranking #49
UTR Rating 15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #80
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Norbert Gombos
Ranking #300
UTR Rating 14,31 Pro
UTR Ranking #234
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 251,0000
rank_ratio 6,1224
log_rank_ratio 1,8120
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 845,0000
best_rank_diff 42,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -2,3810
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,2924
surface_matches_ratio 2,6250
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 47,6190
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,1429
p1_surface_matches 21,0000
p2_surface_matches 8,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0476
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7000
p2_confidence 0,4067
combined_confidence 0,5533
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,0257
first_serve_won_diff -0,2000
second_serve_won_diff -8,8000
bp_saved_diff 15,9000
bp_converted_diff -15,6000
aces_per_match_diff -0,1429
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 12,2460
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 18,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 97,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5823
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5556
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 5,9569
serve_consistency_p2 7,6160
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,3142
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2748
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2510
elite_surface_amplifier -7,1429
UTR
utr_diff 0,7800
utr_p1 0,8341
utr_p2 0,7424
utr_advantage 5,3061
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25714
API ID 15496569
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25714,
    "api_id": 15496569,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alexandre Muller",
    "player2": "Norbert Gombos",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-08T14:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7211,
    "prob_p2": 0.2789,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7211,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 49,
      "utr_singles": 15.09,
      "utr_ranking": 80,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 300,
      "utr_singles": 14.31,
      "utr_ranking": 234,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 80,
      "division": "Pro",
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 234,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.7423529411764707,
    "utr_diff": 0.7799999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 6.122448979591836,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": 845,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 15.900000000000006,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 47.61904761904761,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 5.306122448979587,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 42,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.8119621765455745,
    "rank_advantage": 251,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -2.3809523809523867,
    "bp_converted_diff": -15.600000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 21,
    "p2_surface_matches": 8,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.025714285714294,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5822784810126582,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.1428571428571428,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5533333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.20000000000000284,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.047619047619047616,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.956929167700004,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.616040588241266,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.314195658441855,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.14285714285714,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -8.800000000000011,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.625,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 12.246000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -7.14285714285716,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 97,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2748095238095239,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.251,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.29238095238095,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}