Alvaro Guillen Meza vs James Duckworth
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 20:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
James Duckworth
Alvaro …: 22,3% James …: 77,7%
¿Por qué James Duckworth?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alvaro … James … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 4,48 1,29 22,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Ranking #201
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR / = %
James Duckworth
Ranking #86
UTR Rating 14,86 Pro
UTR Ranking #105
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -115,0000
rank_ratio 0,4279
log_rank_ratio -0,8490
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -396,0000
best_rank_diff -129,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -52,7778
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,5066
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 52,7778
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,8947
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,5000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 36,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -64,2333
first_serve_won_diff -71,6000
second_serve_won_diff -57,0000
bp_saved_diff -66,1000
bp_converted_diff -37,6000
aces_per_match_diff -5,6667
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -11,3800
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 26,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 17,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5349
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2222
serve_consistency_p1 8,4355
serve_consistency_p2 7,6084
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 44,8061
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3850
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0872
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8071
utr_p2 0,8071
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25715
API ID 15498820
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25715,
    "api_id": 15498820,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alvaro Guillen Meza",
    "player2": "James Duckworth",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-08T16:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2232,
    "prob_p2": 0.7768,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7768,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 201,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 86,
      "utr_singles": 14.86,
      "utr_ranking": 105,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.86,
      "ranking": 105,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8070588235294117,
    "utr_p2": 0.8070588235294117,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.42786069651741293,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": -396,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -66.1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 52.77777777777778,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -129,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.8489576118055681,
    "rank_advantage": -115,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2222222222222222,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -52.77777777777778,
    "bp_converted_diff": -37.6,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 36,
    "serve_quality_diff": -64.23333333333332,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5348837209302325,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.666666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.65,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -71.6,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.435540518331798,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.608439289053023,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 44.8060961786272,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.89473684210527,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.5,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -57.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -11.379999999999995,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 26,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 17,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.385,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0872222222222222,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.506578947368424,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}