Alvaro Guillen Meza vs James Duckworth
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 20:10
08 Feb 2026, 20:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
James Duckworth
Alvaro …: 22,3%
James …: 77,7%
¿Por qué James Duckworth?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alvaro … | James … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 4,48 | 1,29 | 22,3% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Ranking
#201
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR
/ = %
James Duckworth
Ranking
#86
UTR Rating
14,86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#105
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -115,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4279 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,8490 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -396,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -129,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -52,7778 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,5066 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52,7778 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,8947 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -64,2333 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -71,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -57,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -66,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -37,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5,6667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11,3800 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 26,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 17,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5349 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2222 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,4355 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,6084 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 44,8061 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3850 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0872 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8071 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25715
API ID
15498820
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25715,
"api_id": 15498820,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alvaro Guillen Meza",
"player2": "James Duckworth",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-08T16:10:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2232,
"prob_p2": 0.7768,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7768,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 201,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 86,
"utr_singles": 14.86,
"utr_ranking": 105,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.86,
"ranking": 105,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8070588235294117,
"utr_p2": 0.8070588235294117,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.42786069651741293,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": -396,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -66.1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.77777777777778,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -129,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.8489576118055681,
"rank_advantage": -115,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2222222222222222,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -52.77777777777778,
"bp_converted_diff": -37.6,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 36,
"serve_quality_diff": -64.23333333333332,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5348837209302325,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.65,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -71.6,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.435540518331798,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.608439289053023,
"surface_rank_synergy": 44.8060961786272,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.89473684210527,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.5,
"second_serve_won_diff": -57.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -11.379999999999995,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 26,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 17,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.385,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0872222222222222,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.506578947368424,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}