Andres Andrade vs Jordan Thompson
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 21:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jordan Thompson
Andres …: 20,8% Jordan …: 79,2%
¿Por qué Jordan Thompson?
UTR 14,04 vs 15,03 (-0,99) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Andres … Jordan … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 4,82 1,26 20,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andres Andrade
Ranking #257
UTR Rating 14,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #366
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR / = %
Jordan Thompson
Ranking #110
UTR Rating 15,03 Pro
UTR Ranking #88
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -147,0000
rank_ratio 0,4280
log_rank_ratio -0,8486
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -337,0000
best_rank_diff -206,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -2,5735
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,1786
surface_matches_ratio 1,0625
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 41,1765
surface_wr_p2 43,7500
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,8571
surface_wr_p2_stable 45,0000
p1_surface_matches 17,0000
p2_surface_matches 16,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1765
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5667
p2_confidence 0,5333
combined_confidence 0,5500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -15,8876
first_serve_won_diff -8,0000
second_serve_won_diff -3,4000
bp_saved_diff -10,7000
bp_converted_diff 8,1000
aces_per_match_diff -5,4338
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -38,5000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 315,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 18,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8077
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7778
serve_consistency_p1 4,0864
serve_consistency_p2 5,7341
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,1839
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0588
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2095
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,9900
utr_p1 0,7106
utr_p2 0,8271
utr_advantage -6,8111
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25716
API ID 15498819
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25716,
    "api_id": 15498819,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Andres Andrade",
    "player2": "Jordan Thompson",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-08T17:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2076,
    "prob_p2": 0.7924,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7924,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 257,
      "utr_singles": 14.04,
      "utr_ranking": 366,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 110,
      "utr_singles": 15.03,
      "utr_ranking": 88,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.04,
      "ranking": 366,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.03,
      "ranking": 88,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7105882352941175,
    "utr_p2": 0.8270588235294117,
    "utr_diff": -0.9900000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 0.4280155642023346,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": -337,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -10.700000000000003,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -38.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 41.17647058823529,
    "surface_wr_p2": 43.75,
    "utr_advantage": -6.811145510835914,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -206,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.8485957191028036,
    "rank_advantage": -147,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7777777777777778,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -2.57352941176471,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.100000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 17,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "serve_quality_diff": -15.88764705882354,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8076923076923077,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.4338235294117645,
    "combined_confidence": 0.55,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -8.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.17647058823529413,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.08637873754153,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.734090380685266,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.183886041808689,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.4000000000000057,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0625,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -38.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 315,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 18,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05876470588235294,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.20950000000000002,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.1785714285714304,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}