Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 20:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos …: 86,1% Rodrigo …: 13,9%
¿Por qué Stefanos Tsitsipas?
UTR 15,36 vs 14,09 (+1,27) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Stefanos … Rodrigo … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,16 7,19 86,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ranking #33
UTR Rating 15,36 Pro
UTR Ranking #41
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Ranking #222
UTR Rating 14,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #336
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 189,0000
rank_ratio 6,7273
log_rank_ratio 1,9062
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1239,0000
best_rank_diff 193,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 16,5385
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,4044
surface_matches_ratio 1,5385
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,0000
surface_wr_p2 38,4615
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,1667
surface_wr_p2_stable 41,1765
p1_surface_matches 20,0000
p2_surface_matches 13,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6667
p2_confidence 0,4733
combined_confidence 0,5700
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 12,4031
first_serve_won_diff 8,0000
second_serve_won_diff 2,6000
bp_saved_diff 7,0000
bp_converted_diff -1,5000
aces_per_match_diff 3,8115
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 37,0400
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 17,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 11,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2295
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 3,8414
serve_consistency_p2 11,4548
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 31,5251
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1390
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0736
elite_surface_amplifier 49,6154
UTR
utr_diff 1,2700
utr_p1 0,8659
utr_p2 0,7165
utr_advantage 8,6248
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25720
API ID 15496141
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25720,
    "api_id": 15496141,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Stefanos Tsitsipas",
    "player2": "Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-08T16:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.861,
    "prob_p2": 0.139,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.861,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 33,
      "utr_singles": 15.36,
      "utr_ranking": 41,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 222,
      "utr_singles": 14.09,
      "utr_ranking": 336,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.36,
      "ranking": 41,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.09,
      "ranking": 336,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8658823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.7164705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 1.2699999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 6.7272727272727275,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": 1239,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 38.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.00000000000001,
    "surface_wr_p2": 38.46153846153847,
    "utr_advantage": 8.624787775891338,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 193,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.9061698204057993,
    "rank_advantage": 189,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 16.53846153846154,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 20,
    "p2_surface_matches": 13,
    "serve_quality_diff": 12.403076923076924,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2295081967213115,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.8115384615384613,
    "combined_confidence": 0.57,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 8.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.8413854826176705,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.454846868501017,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 31.525116260557454,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.166666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 41.17647058823529,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.6000000000000014,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.5384615384615385,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 37.040000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 49.61538461538462,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 17,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 11,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.139,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07361538461538475,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.404411764705883,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}