Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 20:10
08 Feb 2026, 20:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos …: 86,1%
Rodrigo …: 13,9%
¿Por qué Stefanos Tsitsipas?
UTR 15,36 vs 14,09
(+1,27)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Stefanos … | Rodrigo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1,16 | 7,19 | 86,1% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
15,36 Pro
UTR Ranking
#41
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Ranking
#222
UTR Rating
14,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#336
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 189,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,7273 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,9062 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1239,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 193,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,5385 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,4044 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5385 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 38,4615 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,1667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 41,1765 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5700 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 12,4031 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 8,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,8115 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 38,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 37,0400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 17,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 11,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2295 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,8414 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,4548 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 31,5251 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1390 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0736 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 49,6154 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,2700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8659 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7165 | |
| utr_advantage | 8,6248 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25720
API ID
15496141
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25720,
"api_id": 15496141,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Stefanos Tsitsipas",
"player2": "Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-08T16:10:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.861,
"prob_p2": 0.139,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.861,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 33,
"utr_singles": 15.36,
"utr_ranking": 41,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 222,
"utr_singles": 14.09,
"utr_ranking": 336,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.36,
"ranking": 41,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.09,
"ranking": 336,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7164705882352941,
"utr_diff": 1.2699999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 6.7272727272727275,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": 1239,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 38.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.00000000000001,
"surface_wr_p2": 38.46153846153847,
"utr_advantage": 8.624787775891338,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 193,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.9061698204057993,
"rank_advantage": 189,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.53846153846154,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 20,
"p2_surface_matches": 13,
"serve_quality_diff": 12.403076923076924,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2295081967213115,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.8115384615384613,
"combined_confidence": 0.57,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 8.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.8413854826176705,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.454846868501017,
"surface_rank_synergy": 31.525116260557454,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.166666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 41.17647058823529,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.6000000000000014,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5384615384615385,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 37.040000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 49.61538461538462,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 17,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 11,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.139,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07361538461538475,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.404411764705883,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}