Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Alan Magadan
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 21:20
08 Feb 2026, 21:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Stefanos …: 78,2%
Alan …: 21,8%
¿Por qué Stefanos Sakellaridis?
UTR 14,06 vs 13,25
(+0,81)
— Niveles similares
Stefanos …
Sin datos
Alan …
W53-L29
65% WR
vs UTR 12,7
L1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Stefanos … | Alan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1,28 | 4,60 | 78,2% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Ranking
#275
UTR Rating
14,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#368
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (5p)
WR
/ = %
Alan Magadan
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,25 General
UTR Ranking
#1095
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (9p)
WR
/ = %
Momentum & Forma UTR
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Sin datos UTR v4
Alan Magadan
Record 2025
53W - 29L (65%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,7
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 225,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,8182 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5978 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 193,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 225,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,6667 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,4074 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,9600 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 10,7000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -11,2000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,8500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -27,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 14,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,8092 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,7768 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,9784 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1250 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2250 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7129 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6176 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,9319 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25721
API ID
15496139
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25721,
"api_id": 15496139,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Stefanos Sakellaridis",
"player2": "Alan Magadan",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-08T17:20:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7824,
"prob_p2": 0.2176,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7824,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 275,
"utr_singles": 14.06,
"utr_ranking": 368,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.25,
"utr_ranking": 1095,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 53,
"utr_v4_losses": 29,
"utr_v4_wr": 64.63414634146342,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.65,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.31,
"opponent_name": "Peter Bertran"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.01,
"opponent_name": "Jesse Flores"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.45,
"opponent_name": "Juan Jose Bianchi"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.38,
"opponent_name": "Taha Baadi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.81,
"opponent_name": "Nicaise Muamba"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:05.052045+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.06,
"ranking": 368,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.25,
"ranking": 1095,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7129411764705883,
"utr_p2": 0.6176470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.8100000000000005,
"rank_ratio": 1.8181818181818181,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"points_diff": 193,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -11.199999999999996,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -40.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 5.931893079458077,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 225,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5978370007556204,
"rank_advantage": 225,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.399999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 4,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.960000000000008,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.8499999999999996,
"combined_confidence": 0.36,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.10000000000000853,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.809214140646302,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.776831680203124,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.9783700075562045,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.407407407407405,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 10.700000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.25,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -27.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 98,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.125,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22499999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.6666666666666656,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}