Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Alan Magadan
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 21:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Stefanos …: 78,2% Alan …: 21,8%
¿Por qué Stefanos Sakellaridis?
UTR 14,06 vs 13,25 (+0,81) — Niveles similares
Stefanos …
Sin datos
Alan …
W53-L29
65% WR
vs UTR 12,7
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Stefanos … Alan … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,28 4,60 78,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Ranking #275
UTR Rating 14,06 Pro
UTR Ranking #368
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (5p)
WR / = %
Alan Magadan
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,25 General
UTR Ranking #1095
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (9p)
WR / = %
Momentum & Forma UTR
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Sin datos UTR v4
Alan Magadan
Record 2025 53W - 29L (65%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,7
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 225,0000
rank_ratio 1,8182
log_rank_ratio 0,5978
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 193,0000
best_rank_diff 225,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 10,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,6667
surface_matches_ratio 1,2500
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,4074
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 5,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3667
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,3600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10,9600
first_serve_won_diff 0,1000
second_serve_won_diff 10,7000
bp_saved_diff -11,2000
bp_converted_diff 7,4000
aces_per_match_diff 3,8500
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -27,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 98,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 14,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,8092
serve_consistency_p2 4,7768
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 5,9784
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1250
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2250
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,8100
utr_p1 0,7129
utr_p2 0,6176
utr_advantage 5,9319
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25721
API ID 15496139
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25721,
    "api_id": 15496139,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Stefanos Sakellaridis",
    "player2": "Alan Magadan",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-08T17:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7824,
    "prob_p2": 0.2176,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7824,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 275,
      "utr_singles": 14.06,
      "utr_ranking": 368,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.25,
      "utr_ranking": 1095,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 53,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 64.63414634146342,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.65,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.31,
          "opponent_name": "Peter Bertran"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.01,
          "opponent_name": "Jesse Flores"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.45,
          "opponent_name": "Juan Jose Bianchi"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.38,
          "opponent_name": "Taha Baadi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.81,
          "opponent_name": "Nicaise Muamba"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:05.052045+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.06,
      "ranking": 368,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.25,
      "ranking": 1095,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7129411764705883,
    "utr_p2": 0.6176470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.8100000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 1.8181818181818181,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": 193,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -11.199999999999996,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -40.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 5.931893079458077,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 225,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5978370007556204,
    "rank_advantage": 225,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 10.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.399999999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 5,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": 10.960000000000008,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.8499999999999996,
    "combined_confidence": 0.36,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.10000000000000853,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.809214140646302,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.776831680203124,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 5.9783700075562045,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.407407407407405,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 10.700000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.25,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -27.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 98,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.125,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22499999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.6666666666666656,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}