Alex Rybakov vs Murphy Cassone
Dallas | Hard | Qualification Round 1
07 Feb 2026, 23:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Murphy Cassone
Alex …: 36,1% Murphy …: 63,9%
¿Por qué Murphy Cassone?
UTR 14,05 vs 14,23 (-0,18) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alex … Murphy … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 3,10 1,32 32,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,77 1,56 36,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Rybakov
Ranking #297
UTR Rating 14,05 Pro
UTR Ranking #342
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Hard 10/21 = 47,6%
Murphy Cassone
Ranking #244
UTR Rating 14,23 Pro
UTR Ranking #272
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 30/48 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -53,0000
rank_ratio 0,8215
log_rank_ratio -0,1966
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -50,0000
best_rank_diff -89,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -14,8810
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11,5077
surface_matches_ratio 0,4375
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 47,6190
surface_wr_p2 62,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,5385
p1_surface_matches 21,0000
p2_surface_matches 48,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0476
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,5882
first_serve_won_diff -8,5503
second_serve_won_diff 0,2857
bp_saved_diff -1,2655
bp_converted_diff -16,2048
aces_per_match_diff -1,6994
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -27,9990
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 175,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 24,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 5,7197
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,9251
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0292
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0720
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1800
utr_p1 0,7118
utr_p2 0,7329
utr_advantage -1,2730
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25929
API ID 15500437
Gamdom ID 667701
Torneo Dallas
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25929,
    "api_id": 15500437,
    "gamdom_id": 667701,
    "player1": "Alex Rybakov",
    "player2": "Murphy Cassone",
    "tournament": "Dallas",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-02-07T19:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.1,
      "p2": 1.32
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.13,
      "p2": 1.33
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3605,
    "prob_p2": 0.6395,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6395,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 297,
      "utr_singles": 14.05,
      "utr_ranking": 342,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.61904761904761,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 244,
      "utr_singles": 14.23,
      "utr_ranking": 272,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 30,
      "wr_surface_total": 48,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.05,
      "ranking": 342,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.23,
      "ranking": 272,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7117647058823531,
    "utr_p2": 0.7329411764705883,
    "utr_diff": -0.17999999999999972,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8215488215488216,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": -50,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.2654761904761926,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -38.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 47.61904761904761,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
    "utr_advantage": -1.272984441301271,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -89,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.1965639135094977,
    "rank_advantage": -53,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -14.880952380952387,
    "bp_converted_diff": -16.20476190476191,
    "p1_surface_matches": 21,
    "p2_surface_matches": 48,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.5882440476190425,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.6994047619047619,
    "combined_confidence": 0.85,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -8.550297619047605,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.047619047619047616,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.719712775542563,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.925058236748479,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.53846153846154,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.2857142857142847,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.4375,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -27.999000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 175,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 24,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.029190476190476156,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07199999999999995,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.50769230769231,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}