Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Marco Cecchinato
Buenos Aires | Clay | Round of 16
07 Feb 2026, 20:00
07 Feb 2026, 20:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marco Cecchinato
Santiago …: 39,8%
Marco …: 60,2%
¿Por qué Marco Cecchinato?
UTR 13,97 vs 14,34
(-0,37)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Santiago … | Marco … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 2,51 | 1,66 | 39,8% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Ranking
#230
UTR Rating
13,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#394
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
22/44 = 50,0%
Marco Cecchinato
Ranking
#216
UTR Rating
14,34 Pro
UTR Ranking
#255
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Clay
35/62 = 56,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -14,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9391 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0628 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -20,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -141,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6,4516 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,0606 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7097 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,4516 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,0606 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 62,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,8133 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,2867 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,9560 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4545 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,0081 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,1902 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,4052 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0140 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0505 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7459 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,6139 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25933
API ID
15500453
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25933,
"api_id": 15500453,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Santiago Rodriguez Taverna",
"player2": "Marco Cecchinato",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-02-07T16:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3983,
"prob_p2": 0.6017,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6017,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 13.97,
"utr_ranking": 394,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 216,
"utr_singles": 14.34,
"utr_ranking": 255,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.451612903225815,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 62,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 394,
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 255,
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": -0.3699999999999992,
"rank_ratio": 0.9391304347826087,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": -20,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.8999999999999986,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 12.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.451612903225815,
"utr_advantage": -2.6139173436948018,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -141,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.06280090123903036,
"rank_advantage": -14,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -6.451612903225815,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.300000000000004,
"p1_surface_matches": 44,
"p2_surface_matches": 62,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.8133137829911945,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.2866568914956011,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.20000000000000284,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.008072585435574,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.190174808511538,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.4051671047679383,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.060606060606055,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.200000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7096774193548387,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.956000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.014000000000000012,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.050516129032258106,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.060606060606055,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}