Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Marco Cecchinato
Buenos Aires | Clay | Round of 16
07 Feb 2026, 20:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marco Cecchinato
Santiago …: 39,8% Marco …: 60,2%
¿Por qué Marco Cecchinato?
UTR 13,97 vs 14,34 (-0,37) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Santiago … Marco … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 2,51 1,66 39,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Ranking #230
UTR Rating 13,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #394
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 22/44 = 50,0%
Marco Cecchinato
Ranking #216
UTR Rating 14,34 Pro
UTR Ranking #255
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Clay 35/62 = 56,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -14,0000
rank_ratio 0,9391
log_rank_ratio -0,0628
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -20,0000
best_rank_diff -141,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,4516
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,0606
surface_matches_ratio 0,7097
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 56,4516
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,0606
p1_surface_matches 44,0000
p2_surface_matches 62,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,8133
first_serve_won_diff -0,2000
second_serve_won_diff -2,2000
bp_saved_diff -0,9000
bp_converted_diff 4,3000
aces_per_match_diff 1,2867
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 7,9560
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4545
serve_consistency_p1 6,0081
serve_consistency_p2 12,1902
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,4052
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0140
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0505
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3700
utr_p1 0,7024
utr_p2 0,7459
utr_advantage -2,6139
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25933
API ID 15500453
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25933,
    "api_id": 15500453,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Santiago Rodriguez Taverna",
    "player2": "Marco Cecchinato",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-02-07T16:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3983,
    "prob_p2": 0.6017,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6017,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 230,
      "utr_singles": 13.97,
      "utr_ranking": 394,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 216,
      "utr_singles": 14.34,
      "utr_ranking": 255,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.451612903225815,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 62,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 394,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 255,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.7458823529411764,
    "utr_diff": -0.3699999999999992,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9391304347826087,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": -20,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.8999999999999986,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
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    "rank_advantage": -14,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5333333333333333,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.451612903225815,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.300000000000004,
    "p1_surface_matches": 44,
    "p2_surface_matches": 62,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.8133137829911945,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.2866568914956011,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.20000000000000284,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.008072585435574,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.190174808511538,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.4051671047679383,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.060606060606055,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.200000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7096774193548387,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 7.956000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.014000000000000012,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.060606060606055,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}