Lautaro Midon vs Felipe Meligeni Alves
Buenos Aires | Clay | Round of 16
07 Feb 2026, 21:10
07 Feb 2026, 21:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Lautaro …: 33,4%
Felipe …: 66,6%
¿Por qué Felipe Meligeni Alves?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lautaro … | Felipe … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 2,99 | 1,50 | 33,4% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lautaro Midon
Ranking
#231
UTR Rating
14,10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#334
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
24/40 = 60,0%
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Ranking
#226
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
14/21 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -5,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9784 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0219 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -6,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -114,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,1727 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,9048 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,6857 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,1179 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,0810 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 14,0423 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,9433 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,1459 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1050 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1617 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7176 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25936
API ID
15500471
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25936,
"api_id": 15500471,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Lautaro Midon",
"player2": "Felipe Meligeni Alves",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-02-07T17:10:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3341,
"prob_p2": 0.6659,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6659,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 231,
"utr_singles": 14.1,
"utr_ranking": 334,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 226,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.1,
"ranking": 334,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7176470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.7176470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.9783549783549783,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"points_diff": -6,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.6000000000000014,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 8.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -114,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.02188271124950771,
"rank_advantage": -5,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -6.666666666666657,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.4000000000000057,
"p1_surface_matches": 40,
"p2_surface_matches": 21,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.68571428571429,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.1178571428571429,
"combined_confidence": 0.85,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 14.042254109206565,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.943254102195914,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.14588474166338453,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.09090909090909,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.500000000000007,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.9047619047619047,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.081000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10499999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16166666666666651,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.17272727272727,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}