Lautaro Midon vs Felipe Meligeni Alves
Buenos Aires | Clay | Round of 16
07 Feb 2026, 21:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Lautaro …: 33,4% Felipe …: 66,6%
¿Por qué Felipe Meligeni Alves?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lautaro … Felipe … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 2,99 1,50 33,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lautaro Midon
Ranking #231
UTR Rating 14,10 Pro
UTR Ranking #334
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 24/40 = 60,0%
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Ranking #226
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 14/21 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -5,0000
rank_ratio 0,9784
log_rank_ratio -0,0219
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -6,0000
best_rank_diff -114,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,1727
surface_matches_ratio 1,9048
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 66,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 59,0909
surface_wr_p2_stable 64,0000
p1_surface_matches 40,0000
p2_surface_matches 21,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7000
combined_confidence 0,8500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,6857
first_serve_won_diff -5,0000
second_serve_won_diff -6,5000
bp_saved_diff 2,6000
bp_converted_diff 0,4000
aces_per_match_diff -1,1179
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 6,0810
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 14,0423
serve_consistency_p2 6,9433
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,1459
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1050
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1617
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7176
utr_p2 0,7176
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25936
API ID 15500471
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25936,
    "api_id": 15500471,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Lautaro Midon",
    "player2": "Felipe Meligeni Alves",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-02-07T17:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3341,
    "prob_p2": 0.6659,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6659,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 231,
      "utr_singles": 14.1,
      "utr_ranking": 334,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 226,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.1,
      "ranking": 334,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7176470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.7176470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9783549783549783,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": -6,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.6000000000000014,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 8.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -114,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.02188271124950771,
    "rank_advantage": -5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.666666666666657,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.4000000000000057,
    "p1_surface_matches": 40,
    "p2_surface_matches": 21,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.68571428571429,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.1178571428571429,
    "combined_confidence": 0.85,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 14.042254109206565,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.943254102195914,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.14588474166338453,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.09090909090909,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.500000000000007,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.9047619047619047,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 6.081000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10499999999999998,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16166666666666651,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.17272727272727,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}