Andrea Pellegrino vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Buenos Aires | Clay | Round of 16
07 Feb 2026, 23:30
07 Feb 2026, 23:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrea Pellegrino
Andrea …: 76,4%
Juan …: 23,6%
¿Por qué Andrea Pellegrino?
UTR 14,39 vs 13,81
(+0,58)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Andrea … | Juan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,42 | 2,65 | 70,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,31 | 4,24 | 76,4% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrea Pellegrino
Ranking
#143
UTR Rating
14,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#206
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
28/45 = 62,2%
Juan Manuel La Serna
Ranking
#386
UTR Rating
13,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#494
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
8/17 = 47,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 243,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,6993 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9930 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 309,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 260,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 15,1634 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10,6576 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,6471 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 47,0588 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,2245 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,6190 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 45,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2444 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,4668 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,9634 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4,4700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6875 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,8005 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,1715 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 15,0571 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1208 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2136 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 15,1634 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7518 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6835 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,1135 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25937
API ID
15500473
Gamdom ID
667718
Torneo
Buenos Aires
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25937,
"api_id": 15500473,
"gamdom_id": 667718,
"player1": "Andrea Pellegrino",
"player2": "Juan Manuel La Serna",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-02-07T19:30:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.65
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.43,
"p2": 2.74
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7641,
"prob_p2": 0.2359,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7641,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 143,
"utr_singles": 14.39,
"utr_ranking": 206,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.22222222222222,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 386,
"utr_singles": 13.81,
"utr_ranking": 494,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.39,
"ranking": 206,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.81,
"ranking": 494,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.751764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.6835294117647059,
"utr_diff": 0.5800000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 2.699300699300699,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 309,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.299999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -7.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.22222222222222,
"surface_wr_p2": 47.05882352941176,
"utr_advantage": 4.113475177304965,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 260,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.9929927392049235,
"rank_advantage": 243,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6875,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 15.16339869281046,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.899999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 45,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.466797385620907,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.9633986928104574,
"combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.3999999999999986,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.24444444444444444,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.80045781578001,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.1715134256862365,
"surface_rank_synergy": 15.057144803630216,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.224489795918366,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.61904761904761,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.799999999999997,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.6470588235294117,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.469999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 15.16339869281046,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.12077777777777776,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21358823529411758,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.65759637188209,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}