Andrea Pellegrino vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Buenos Aires | Clay | Round of 16
07 Feb 2026, 23:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrea Pellegrino
Andrea …: 76,4% Juan …: 23,6%
¿Por qué Andrea Pellegrino?
UTR 14,39 vs 13,81 (+0,58) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Andrea … Juan … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,42 2,65 70,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,31 4,24 76,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrea Pellegrino
Ranking #143
UTR Rating 14,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #206
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 28/45 = 62,2%
Juan Manuel La Serna
Ranking #386
UTR Rating 13,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #494
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 8/17 = 47,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 243,0000
rank_ratio 2,6993
log_rank_ratio 0,9930
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 309,0000
best_rank_diff 260,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 15,1634
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 10,6576
surface_matches_ratio 2,6471
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,2222
surface_wr_p2 47,0588
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,2245
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,6190
p1_surface_matches 45,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2444
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,7833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,4668
first_serve_won_diff 3,4000
second_serve_won_diff 2,8000
bp_saved_diff 7,3000
bp_converted_diff -4,9000
aces_per_match_diff 0,9634
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -4,4700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6875
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 9,8005
serve_consistency_p2 5,1715
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 15,0571
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1208
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2136
elite_surface_amplifier 15,1634
UTR
utr_diff 0,5800
utr_p1 0,7518
utr_p2 0,6835
utr_advantage 4,1135
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25937
API ID 15500473
Gamdom ID 667718
Torneo Buenos Aires
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25937,
    "api_id": 15500473,
    "gamdom_id": 667718,
    "player1": "Andrea Pellegrino",
    "player2": "Juan Manuel La Serna",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-02-07T19:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.65
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.43,
      "p2": 2.74
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7641,
    "prob_p2": 0.2359,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7641,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 143,
      "utr_singles": 14.39,
      "utr_ranking": 206,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.22222222222222,
      "wr_surface_wins": 28,
      "wr_surface_total": 45,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 386,
      "utr_singles": 13.81,
      "utr_ranking": 494,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.39,
      "ranking": 206,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.81,
      "ranking": 494,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.751764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.6835294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 0.5800000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 2.699300699300699,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 309,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.299999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -7.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.22222222222222,
    "surface_wr_p2": 47.05882352941176,
    "utr_advantage": 4.113475177304965,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 260,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.9929927392049235,
    "rank_advantage": 243,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6875,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 15.16339869281046,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.899999999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 45,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.466797385620907,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.9633986928104574,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.3999999999999986,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.24444444444444444,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.80045781578001,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.1715134256862365,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 15.057144803630216,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.224489795918366,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.61904761904761,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.799999999999997,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.6470588235294117,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -4.469999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 15.16339869281046,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.12077777777777776,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21358823529411758,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.65759637188209,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}