Pavel Kotov vs Mackenzie McDonald
Miami | Hard | Qualification Round 2
18 Mar 2025, 19:00
18 Mar 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Pavel … | Mackenzie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pavel Kotov
Ranking
#485
UTR Rating
14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#268
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
9/21 = 42,9%
Mackenzie McDonald
Ranking
#113
UTR Rating
14,76 Pro
UTR Ranking
#110
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
63% (8p)
WR Hard
22/41 = 53,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -372,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2330 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,4568 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -457,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -13,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -14,4928 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15,5939 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6081 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,7428 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40,8163 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,4103 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 45,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,2016 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,2464 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,0067 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,2125 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -13,5960 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,2882 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,9040 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9536 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5725 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4643 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,4898 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,9371 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 21,1125 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2845 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3146 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7341 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7953 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,5862 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
2599
API ID
13629370
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Miami
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2599,
"api_id": 13629370,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Pavel Kotov",
"player2": "Mackenzie McDonald",
"tournament": "Miami",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2025-03-18T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 485,
"utr_singles": 14.24,
"utr_ranking": 268,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 113,
"utr_singles": 14.76,
"utr_ranking": 110,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 62.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.24,
"ranking": 268,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.76,
"ranking": 110,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.2329896907216495,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.4567610722251425,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -457,
"best_rank_diff": -13,
"surface_wr_diff": -14.492793791574286,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.593929879644165,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6081081081081081,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.25,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.742793791574286,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.816326530612244,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.41025641025641,
"p1_surface_matches": 45,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.2015631929046577,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.24636363636363967,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.006651884700666,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.21246119733926605,
"bp_converted_diff": -13.595964523281587,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.2881929046563183,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.904000000000011,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9536423841059603,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5725190839694656,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4642857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.489760295226285,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.93714694775206,
"surface_rank_synergy": 21.112537823351644,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2845,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.31457206208425714,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5199999999999996,
"utr_p1": 0.7341176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.7952941176470588,
"utr_advantage": -3.586206896551721,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}