Denis Shapovalov vs Kei Nishikori
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 32
31 Dec 2024, 07:30
31 Dec 2024, 07:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Denis … | Kei … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Denis Shapovalov
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
15.69 Pro
UTR Ranking
#38
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
45/74 = 60.8%
Kei Nishikori
Ranking
#156
UTR Rating
15.21 Pro
UTR Ranking
#84
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
25/40 = 62.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 133.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6.7826 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.9144 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 1278.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -6.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13.0450 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8.4454 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.9583 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53.6216 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66.6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.9020 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64.2857 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 47.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 24.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1064 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.8000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 21.0113 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 8.4431 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7.2495 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1.8403 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.1398 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 7.3075 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8359 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4286 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -24.9729 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0968 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2997 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -26.0901 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.4800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9047 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8482 | |
| utr_advantage | 3.1068 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
260
API ID
13280566
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 260,
"api_id": 13280566,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Denis Shapovalov",
"player2": "Kei Nishikori",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2024-12-31T07:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.69,
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},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.21,
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"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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}
},
"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": -6,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"p1_surface_matches": 47,
"p2_surface_matches": 24,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10638297872340426,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8,
"combined_confidence": 0.9,
"serve_quality_diff": 21.011347747747756,
"first_serve_won_diff": 8.44307207207207,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.24952252252254,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.840288288288292,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.1397567567567535,
"aces_per_match_diff": 7.307477477477478,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"match_load_p1": 0,
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"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8359375,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 5.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": -24.97293580028756,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09678378378378383,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2996666666666665,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -26.090090090090072,
"utr_diff": 0.47999999999999865,
"utr_p1": 0.9047058823529411,
"utr_p2": 0.8482352941176472,
"utr_advantage": 3.106796116504846,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}