Alex Michelsen vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami | Hard | Round of 64
21 Mar 2025, 17:45
21 Mar 2025, 17:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Camilo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Michelsen
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15.11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#90
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
51/87 = 58.6%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ranking
#49
UTR Rating
14.90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#106
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
12/29 = 41.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 11.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.2895 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.2542 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 272.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 13.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 14.5483 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15.5539 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.2453 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 39.6970 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58.2418 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42.4242 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 87.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4.3078 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.5209 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.4510 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.1050 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -15.9983 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.4060 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -24.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -15.5860 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 11.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8512 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.5597 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12.5931 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.8145 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3.6987 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0315 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0920 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8365 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8118 | |
| utr_advantage | 1.3995 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
2702
API ID
13610794
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Miami
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 2702,
"api_id": 13610794,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex Michelsen",
"player2": "Camilo Ugo Carabelli",
"tournament": "Miami",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-03-21T17:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.11,
"utr_ranking": 90,
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"wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
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"wr_surface_total": 87,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 49,
"utr_singles": 14.9,
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"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 272,
"best_rank_diff": 13,
"surface_wr_diff": 14.548313321898235,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.553890553890563,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 39.69696969696969,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.24175824175825,
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"p1_surface_matches": 87,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1724137931034483,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.307790737564318,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.5209359970403113,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.450952028610189,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.1050480947095735,
"bp_converted_diff": -15.99825379208287,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.4060185652305517,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": -24.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -15.586000000000006,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 11,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8511904761904762,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5597014925373134,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.55,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.593120160495623,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.814525059134719,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.6986779023367706,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03145283018867917,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09203030303030313,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.20999999999999908,
"utr_p1": 0.8364705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.8117647058823529,
"utr_advantage": 1.3995334888370483,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
"utr_p1": "0.0149",
"utr_p2": "0.012",
"utr_advantage": "0.0633",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0203",
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}
}