Sebastian Korda vs Eliot Spizzirri
Miami | Hard | Round of 64
21 Mar 2025, 23:20
21 Mar 2025, 23:20
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sebastian … | Eliot … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastian Korda
Ranking
#48
UTR Rating
15.61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#35
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (8p)
WR Hard
35/59 = 59.3%
Eliot Spizzirri
Ranking
#90
UTR Rating
15.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#83
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
46/76 = 60.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 42.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.8750 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.6286 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 420.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 72.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2.4797 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1.2698 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7763 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58.2874 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60.7670 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58.7302 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 59.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 76.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1864 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 12.2856 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6.2787 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.3451 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7.4069 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0.2946 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4.5214 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -54.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -40.0850 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 12.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9573 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7717 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6579 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3.3979 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11.8424 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1.5588 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0409 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1497 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -2.4797 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.4200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8953 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8459 | |
| utr_advantage | 2.7273 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
2709
API ID
13610797
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Miami
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2709,
"api_id": 13610797,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sebastian Korda",
"player2": "Eliot Spizzirri",
"tournament": "Miami",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-03-21T23:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.61,
"utr_ranking": 35,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 59.32203389830508,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 59,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 90,
"utr_singles": 15.19,
"utr_ranking": 83,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.526315789473685,
"wr_surface_wins": 46,
"wr_surface_total": 76,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 35,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 83,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.875,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6286086594223741,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 420,
"best_rank_diff": 72,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.479689132706376,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.2698412698412653,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7763157894736842,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
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"surface_wr_p2": 60.76704545454545,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.730158730158735,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 59,
"p2_surface_matches": 76,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1864406779661017,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 12.285575470219442,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.278707353709521,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.3450513975966629,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.406890935214221,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.29460272988505665,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.521353187042842,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": -54.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -40.085000000000015,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 12,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9572953736654805,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7717391304347826,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6578947368421053,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.3979258999049606,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.842427190124985,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.5587540614947846,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04087356321839075,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14967045454545458,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -2.479689132706376,
"utr_diff": 0.41999999999999993,
"utr_p1": 0.8952941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.8458823529411764,
"utr_advantage": 2.727272727272727,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
"utr_p1": "0.0149",
"utr_p2": "0.012",
"utr_advantage": "0.0633",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0203",
"utr_available": "0.0123"
}
}