Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Miami | Hard | Round of 64
21 Mar 2025, 23:40
21 Mar 2025, 23:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Tommy … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Bublik
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
16.05 Pro
UTR Ranking
#6
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
36/66 = 54.5%
Tommy Paul
Ranking
#20
UTR Rating
15.88 Pro
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
41/61 = 67.2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 9.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.8182 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.5978 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 770.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -3.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13.5436 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11.8681 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0820 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.8889 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 68.4325 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66.1538 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 66.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 61.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11.0373 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3.5647 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3.7694 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6.5443 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3.1129 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5.1929 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -12.9500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 9.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9455 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0776 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4815 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.5410 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.6213 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -8.0969 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0399 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1933 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9471 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9271 | |
| utr_advantage | 1.0648 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
2710
API ID
13610796
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Miami
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 2710,
"api_id": 13610796,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alexander Bublik",
"player2": "Tommy Paul",
"tournament": "Miami",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-03-21T23:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 16.05,
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"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
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"wr_surface_total": 66,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.88,
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"wr_surface": 67.21311475409836,
"wr_surface_wins": 41,
"wr_surface_total": 61,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 0.5978370007556204,
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"points_diff": 770,
"best_rank_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.543605390287311,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0819672131147542,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 68.4324942791762,
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"p1_surface_matches": 66,
"p2_surface_matches": 61,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.037329417747245,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.564718281210247,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.7694057971014487,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.544250699211801,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.1129087210780497,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.192896008136281,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -17.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -12.950000000000003,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9454545454545454,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0776014109347443,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.48148148148148145,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.540993784104047,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.621254428399329,
"surface_rank_synergy": -8.09686842594702,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03988888888888886,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19332494279176193,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.16999999999999993,
"utr_p1": 0.9470588235294118,
"utr_p2": 0.9270588235294118,
"utr_advantage": 1.0648293141246472,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
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"utr_p2": "0.012",
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}