Madison Keys vs Elina Avanesyan
Miami | Hard | Round of 64
21 Mar 2025, 23:00
21 Mar 2025, 23:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Madison … | Elina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Madison Keys
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
12.48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#22
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
31/44 = 70.5%
Elina Avanesyan
Ranking
#118
UTR Rating
11.62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#200
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
24/47 = 51.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 111.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 16.8571 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2.8248 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4.0000 | |
| points_diff | 3686.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 31.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 18.3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 17.7696 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9362 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51.6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68.7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.9804 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 44.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 47.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.4091 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 13.3757 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 10.1456 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4.9642 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5.2962 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6.3176 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3.4068 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 15.2150 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7643 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.5236 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.7500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6364 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13.8378 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.4293 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 51.7875 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0890 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1277 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 73.3333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.8600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5271 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4259 | |
| utr_advantage | 7.1369 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
2728
API ID
13611301
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Miami
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"api_id": 13611301,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Madison Keys",
"player2": "Elina Avanesyan",
"tournament": "Miami",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-03-21T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 22,
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"wr_surface": 70.45454545454545,
"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 11.62,
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"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 51.06382978723404,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 47,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 22,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"division": "Pro",
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"rank_tier_advantage": 4,
"points_diff": 3686,
"best_rank_diff": 31,
"surface_wr_diff": 18.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.76960784313726,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9361702127659575,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 70.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.98039215686274,
"p1_surface_matches": 44,
"p2_surface_matches": 47,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4090909090909091,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 13.375692307692304,
"first_serve_won_diff": 10.14564102564102,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.964166666666678,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.296249999999986,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.317580128205137,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.4068108974358973,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": -2.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 15.215000000000003,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7642857142857142,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5235849056603774,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.837753285051782,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.42927698748936,
"surface_rank_synergy": 51.787532049189764,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08899999999999997,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1276666666666667,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 73.33333333333331,
"utr_diff": 0.8600000000000012,
"utr_p1": 0.5270588235294118,
"utr_p2": 0.4258823529411764,
"utr_advantage": 7.136929460580922,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}