Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi Osaka
Miami | Hard | Round of 32
22 Mar 2025, 16:50
22 Mar 2025, 16:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hailey … | Naomi … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hailey Baptiste
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
12.21 Pro
UTR Ranking
#53
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
33/60 = 55.0%
Naomi Osaka
Ranking
#16
UTR Rating
12.60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#12
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
37/55 = 67.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -45.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.2623 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.3383 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -1464.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -46.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -18.5984 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11.4142 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0909 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50.8371 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 69.4355 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.6875 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66.1017 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 60.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 55.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7.6611 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5.1638 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.0173 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.3520 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5.7172 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.3870 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7.4100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6339 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0576 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5263 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9.1021 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3.6974 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 24.8899 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0534 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1494 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.3900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4953 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5412 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.1439 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
2750
API ID
13611318
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Miami
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2750,
"api_id": 13611318,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Hailey Baptiste",
"player2": "Naomi Osaka",
"tournament": "Miami",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-03-22T16:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.21,
"utr_ranking": 53,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.00000000000001,
"wr_surface_wins": 33,
"wr_surface_total": 60,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 16,
"utr_singles": 12.6,
"utr_ranking": 12,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 67.27272727272727,
"wr_surface_wins": 37,
"wr_surface_total": 55,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 53,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 12,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.26229508196721313,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.33828514193353,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -1464,
"best_rank_diff": -46,
"surface_wr_diff": -18.598379798569553,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.414194915254242,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0909090909090908,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.83710407239819,
"surface_wr_p2": 69.43548387096774,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.6875,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.10169491525424,
"p1_surface_matches": 60,
"p2_surface_matches": 55,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.661103944679617,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.163750000000022,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.0173076923077033,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.3520192307692369,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.717211538461548,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.3870183184936504,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"momentum_diff": 8.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.409999999999997,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6339285714285714,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0576131687242798,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.102057781071998,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.697352955844278,
"surface_rank_synergy": 24.889935348462352,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05337104072398191,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14935483870967736,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.3899999999999988,
"utr_p1": 0.49529411764705894,
"utr_p2": 0.5411764705882353,
"utr_advantage": -3.1438935912938235,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
"utr_p1": "0.0149",
"utr_p2": "0.012",
"utr_advantage": "0.0633",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0203",
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}