Lorenzo Musetti vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Miami | Hard | Round of 32
23 Mar 2025, 17:20
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lorenzo … Felix … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking #8
UTR Rating 15.95 Pro
UTR Ranking #8
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (9p)
WR Hard 38/69 = 55.1%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ranking #5
UTR Rating 16.09 Pro
UTR Ranking #4
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 49/79 = 62.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -3.0000
rank_ratio 0.6250
log_rank_ratio -0.4700
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff -205.0000
best_rank_diff -1.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6.5194
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6.6513
surface_matches_ratio 0.8734
surface_tournaments_won_diff -3.0000
surface_wr_p1 56.6216
surface_wr_p2 63.1410
surface_wr_p1_stable 54.7945
surface_wr_p2_stable 61.4458
p1_surface_matches 69.0000
p2_surface_matches 79.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.1014
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -11.6621
first_serve_won_diff -3.9978
second_serve_won_diff -0.2047
bp_saved_diff -6.1779
bp_converted_diff -1.1058
aces_per_match_diff -4.8009
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.3333
momentum_p1 68.0000
momentum_p2 50.0000
momentum_diff 18.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 14.4150
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.0466
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.9496
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5152
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.6111
serve_consistency_p1 3.7040
serve_consistency_p2 6.3270
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3.0641
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0692
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1284
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.1400
utr_p1 0.9353
utr_p2 0.9518
utr_advantage -0.8739
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1073
utr_advantage 0.0633
utr_diff 0.0422
surface_rank_synergy 0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0231
points_diff 0.0218
utr_both_pro 0.0203
rank_ratio 0.0183
rank_advantage 0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID 2768
API ID 13610752
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Miami
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 2768,
    "api_id": 13610752,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Lorenzo Musetti",
    "player2": "Felix Auger-Aliassime",
    "tournament": "Miami",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-03-23T17:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 8,
      "utr_singles": 15.95,
      "utr_ranking": 8,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.072463768115945,
      "wr_surface_wins": 38,
      "wr_surface_total": 69,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 5,
      "utr_singles": 16.09,
      "utr_ranking": 4,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.0253164556962,
      "wr_surface_wins": 49,
      "wr_surface_total": 79,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.95,
      "ranking": 8,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 16.09,
      "ranking": 4,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -3,
    "rank_ratio": 0.625,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.4700036292457356,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": -205,
    "best_rank_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.519404019404014,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.651262584584913,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8734177215189873,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.62162162162162,
    "surface_wr_p2": 63.141025641025635,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.794520547945204,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.44578313253012,
    "p1_surface_matches": 69,
    "p2_surface_matches": 79,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.10144927536231885,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -11.66210660660662,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.997760308385338,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.20474402286901494,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.177906416031405,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.1057520501270446,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.800901622776623,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "momentum_diff": 18.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 14.415000000000006,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0466321243523315,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9495967741935484,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5151515151515151,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6111111111111112,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.704028768529642,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.327023619747637,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.0641435496391227,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06921621621621621,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12841025641025638,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.14000000000000057,
    "utr_p1": 0.9352941176470587,
    "utr_p2": 0.951764705882353,
    "utr_advantage": -0.8739076154806527,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0182",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0183",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
    "points_diff": "0.0218",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0153",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0103",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0119",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0109",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0138",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0128",
    "match_load_p2": "0.013",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0118",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0081",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
    "utr_diff": "0.0422",
    "utr_p1": "0.0149",
    "utr_p2": "0.012",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0633",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0203",
    "utr_available": "0.0123"
  }
}