Alex de Minaur vs Joao Fonseca
Miami | Hard | Round of 32
24 Mar 2025, 23:00
24 Mar 2025, 23:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Joao … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex de Minaur
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
16.07 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
69/98 = 70.4%
Joao Fonseca
Ranking
#24
UTR Rating
15.92 Pro
UTR Ranking
#18
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
45/59 = 76.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 17.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3.4286 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.2321 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 2500.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 18.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6.5080 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4.9953 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.6610 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70.5666 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 77.0746 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69.6078 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 74.6032 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 98.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 59.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.4082 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2.7162 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.5825 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.2451 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2.0438 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1.5569 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.3992 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -15.9510 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8981 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.1493 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6071 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7391 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.9336 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 15.4966 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -8.0188 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1887 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2877 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -13.0160 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9494 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9318 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.9378 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
2794
API ID
13610751
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Miami
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 2794,
"api_id": 13610751,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex de Minaur",
"player2": "Joao Fonseca",
"tournament": "Miami",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-03-24T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 16.07,
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"wr_surface": 70.40816326530613,
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"wr_surface_total": 98,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.92,
"utr_ranking": 18,
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"wr_surface": 76.27118644067797,
"wr_surface_wins": 45,
"wr_surface_total": 59,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
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"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
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"best_rank_diff": 18,
"surface_wr_diff": -6.507995880088899,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
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"surface_wr_p2": 77.07459207459206,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 74.60317460317461,
"p1_surface_matches": 98,
"p2_surface_matches": 59,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.40816326530612246,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.716217314468466,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.5825465387325721,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.245119748468582,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.0437606656908898,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.55687244538408,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3992399848213797,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -9.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -15.950999999999993,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8981324278438031,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1492537313432836,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6071428571428571,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7391304347826086,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.933633403357883,
"serve_consistency_p2": 15.496564047858815,
"surface_rank_synergy": -8.018786001530021,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1886659619450316,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.28774592074592065,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -13.015991760177798,
"utr_diff": 0.15000000000000036,
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"utr_advantage": 0.9377930603313557,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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}