Alex de Minaur vs Joao Fonseca
Miami | Hard | Round of 32
25 Mar 2025, 03:00
25 Mar 2025, 03:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Joao … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex de Minaur
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
15,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
39/55 = 70,9%
Joao Fonseca
Ranking
#32
UTR Rating
15,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#25
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
26/33 = 78,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 26,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 5,3333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,6740 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2570,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 18,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6,5080 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,9953 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6610 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70,5666 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 77,0746 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69,6078 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 74,6032 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 98,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 59,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4082 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,7162 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,5825 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,2451 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,0438 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,5569 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3992 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -15,9510 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8981 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1493 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6071 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7391 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,9336 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 15,4966 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -10,8942 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1797 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2967 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -13,0160 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9282 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8894 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,0986 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
2794
API ID
13610751
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Miami
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2794,
"api_id": 13610751,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex de Minaur",
"player2": "Joao Fonseca",
"tournament": "Miami",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-03-24T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 15.89,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 70.9090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 39,
"wr_surface_total": 55,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 32,
"utr_singles": 15.56,
"utr_ranking": 25,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 78.78787878787878,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.89,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.56,
"ranking": 25,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 26,
"rank_ratio": 5.333333333333333,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.6739764335716716,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 2570,
"best_rank_diff": 18,
"surface_wr_diff": -6.507995880088899,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.995331465919705,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.6610169491525424,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_p1": 70.56659619450316,
"surface_wr_p2": 77.07459207459206,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.6078431372549,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 74.60317460317461,
"p1_surface_matches": 98,
"p2_surface_matches": 59,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.40816326530612246,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.716217314468466,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.5825465387325721,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.245119748468582,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.0437606656908898,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.55687244538408,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3992399848213797,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -9.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -15.950999999999993,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8981324278438031,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1492537313432836,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6071428571428571,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7391304347826086,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.933633403357883,
"serve_consistency_p2": 15.496564047858815,
"surface_rank_synergy": -10.894231733050347,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1796659619450316,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.29674592074592065,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -13.015991760177798,
"utr_diff": 0.33000000000000007,
"utr_p1": 0.9282352941176472,
"utr_p2": 0.8894117647058825,
"utr_advantage": 2.0985691573926872,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}