Lucrezia Stefanini vs Tatjana Maria
Puerto Vallarta, Mexico | Hard | Round of 32
24 Mar 2025, 18:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lucrezia … Tatjana … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lucrezia Stefanini
Ranking #141
UTR Rating 11.63 Pro
UTR Ranking #196
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (8p)
WR Hard 22/43 = 51.2%
Tatjana Maria
Ranking #45
UTR Rating 11.94 Pro
UTR Ranking #122
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 28/66 = 42.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -96.0000
rank_ratio 0.3191
log_rank_ratio -1.1421
rank_tier_advantage -2.0000
points_diff -704.0000
best_rank_diff -63.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12.0295
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8.2067
surface_matches_ratio 0.6515
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1.0000
surface_wr_p1 49.9783
surface_wr_p2 37.9487
surface_wr_p1_stable 51.0638
surface_wr_p2_stable 42.8571
p1_surface_matches 43.0000
p2_surface_matches 66.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0233
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7.7359
first_serve_won_diff -4.6449
second_serve_won_diff 3.2225
bp_saved_diff -1.9979
bp_converted_diff 2.7072
aces_per_match_diff -3.1901
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.3333
momentum_p1 50.0000
momentum_p2 32.0000
momentum_diff 18.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 14.6040
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6.0000
match_load_p1 3.0000
match_load_p2 2.0000
match_load_diff 1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.7607
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5385
serve_consistency_p1 11.3662
serve_consistency_p2 14.9859
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -13.7389
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0958
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.2165
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.3100
utr_p1 0.4271
utr_p2 0.4635
utr_advantage -2.6305
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1073
utr_advantage 0.0633
utr_diff 0.0422
surface_rank_synergy 0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0231
points_diff 0.0218
utr_both_pro 0.0203
rank_ratio 0.0183
rank_advantage 0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID 2810
API ID 13664853
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Puerto Vallarta, Mexico
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 2810,
    "api_id": 13664853,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Lucrezia Stefanini",
    "player2": "Tatjana Maria",
    "tournament": "Puerto Vallarta, Mexico",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-03-24T18:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 141,
      "utr_singles": 11.63,
      "utr_ranking": 196,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.162790697674424,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 43,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 45,
      "utr_singles": 11.94,
      "utr_ranking": 122,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.42424242424242,
      "wr_surface_wins": 28,
      "wr_surface_total": 66,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.63,
      "ranking": 196,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.94,
      "ranking": 122,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -96,
    "rank_ratio": 0.3191489361702128,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.1420974006078484,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "points_diff": -704,
    "best_rank_diff": -63,
    "surface_wr_diff": 12.029542920847277,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.206686930091188,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6515151515151515,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 49.97826086956522,
    "surface_wr_p2": 37.94871794871794,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.06382978723404,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "p1_surface_matches": 43,
    "p2_surface_matches": 66,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.023255813953488372,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.735944196705063,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.644925058838098,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.2225164127338104,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.9978524092654482,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.7071946612164055,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.1901182955530776,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "momentum_diff": 18.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 14.604000000000006,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7606837606837606,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.366211841478131,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.985910542669716,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -13.73890970040022,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09578260869565214,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.21651282051282056,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.3099999999999987,
    "utr_p1": 0.4270588235294119,
    "utr_p2": 0.4635294117647058,
    "utr_advantage": -2.630462452269824,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0182",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0183",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
    "points_diff": "0.0218",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0153",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0103",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0119",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0109",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0138",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0128",
    "match_load_p2": "0.013",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0118",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0081",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
    "utr_diff": "0.0422",
    "utr_p1": "0.0149",
    "utr_p2": "0.012",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0633",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0203",
    "utr_available": "0.0123"
  }
}