Maria Carle vs Ana Bogdan
Antalya 2, Turkiye | Clay | Round of 16
27 Mar 2025, 10:25
27 Mar 2025, 10:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maria … | Ana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Carle
Ranking
#151
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
40/65 = 61.5%
Ana Bogdan
Ranking
#451
UTR Rating
11.59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#204
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
57% (7p)
WR Clay
5/15 = 33.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 300.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2.9868 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.0942 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 358.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -32.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 30.4418 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 18.0206 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4.3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58.8509 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 28.4091 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60.8696 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 36.8421 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 65.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 15.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2308 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.5000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.7500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6.5334 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5.0500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.5100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 12.0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4.7500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.3277 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6.3150 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6500 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0536 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4615 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13.5951 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.2103 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 33.3091 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.2115 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0841 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 30.4418 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4224 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4224 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
2856
API ID
13638084
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Antalya 2, Turkiye
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"id": 2856,
"api_id": 13638084,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maria Carle",
"player2": "Ana Bogdan",
"tournament": "Antalya 2, Turkiye",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-03-27T10:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_total": 65,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 11.59,
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"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": -32,
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"p1_surface_matches": 65,
"p2_surface_matches": 15,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.23076923076923078,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.75,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.533420666290233,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.049999999999997,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.509999999999998,
"bp_saved_diff": 12.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.75,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3277103331451157,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.315000000000012,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.65,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0535714285714286,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46153846153846156,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.59511378436826,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.210278041545074,
"surface_rank_synergy": 33.30908172707709,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.21149068322981368,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08409090909090916,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 30.441840767927726,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.4223529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.4223529411764706,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}