Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Heather Watson
Puerto Vallarta, Mexico | Hard | Round of 16
27 Mar 2025, 22:00
27 Mar 2025, 22:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sara … | Heather … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Ranking
#294
UTR Rating
11.64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#191
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
25/48 = 52.1%
Heather Watson
Ranking
#267
UTR Rating
11.68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#185
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
29% (7p)
WR Hard
12/29 = 41.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -27.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.9082 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.0963 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -35.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 6.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 17.9899 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9.3405 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.6552 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56.7778 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 38.7879 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51.9231 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42.4242 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 48.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0417 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8.0091 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6.5507 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.0558 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.4040 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10.9841 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.5253 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 14.0100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6154 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.2727 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9.3663 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11.7812 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1.7330 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0948 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1391 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4282 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4329 | |
| utr_advantage | -0.3431 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
2871
API ID
13638172
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Puerto Vallarta, Mexico
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"api_id": 13638172,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sara Sorribes Tormo",
"player2": "Heather Watson",
"tournament": "Puerto Vallarta, Mexico",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-03-27T22:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.64,
"utr_ranking": 191,
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"wr_surface_total": 48,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 11.68,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 28.57142857142857,
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"form_l10_matches": 7
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},
"utr": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": 6,
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"p1_surface_matches": 48,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.041666666666666664,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.009105050505042,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.5506666666666575,
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"bp_saved_diff": -2.4039999999999964,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.984111111111105,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.525252525252525,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"momentum_diff": 22.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 14.010000000000005,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 3,
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"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6153846153846154,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2727272727272727,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.36630197847151,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.781216470481066,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.7329869193873486,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09477777777777785,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.13912121212121215,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.03999999999999915,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
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}