Heather Watson vs Marina Stakusic
Puerto Vallarta, Mexico | Hard | Quarterfinals
29 Mar 2025, 01:00
29 Mar 2025, 01:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Heather … | Marina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Heather Watson
Ranking
#266
UTR Rating
11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#205
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
38% (8p)
WR Hard
4/11 = 36,4%
Marina Stakusic
Ranking
#127
UTR Rating
11,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#116
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/25 = 48,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -139,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4774 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7393 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -302,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 76,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11,4788 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,2054 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5577 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 38,7879 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,2667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,4242 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,7857 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 52,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,3090 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0423 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,8844 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,5974 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,0496 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,0766 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 22,8870 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6190 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,5224 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3568 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,4864 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0269 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1363 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4247 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4671 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,0534 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
2878
API ID
13638175
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Puerto Vallarta, Mexico
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2878,
"api_id": 13638175,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Heather Watson",
"player2": "Marina Stakusic",
"tournament": "Puerto Vallarta, Mexico",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-03-28T21:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 266,
"utr_singles": 11.61,
"utr_ranking": 205,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 36.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 37.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 127,
"utr_singles": 11.97,
"utr_ranking": 116,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.61,
"ranking": 205,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 116,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.4774436090225564,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7393092223231078,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -302,
"best_rank_diff": 76,
"surface_wr_diff": -11.478787878787877,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.205447330447338,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5576923076923077,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 38.78787878787879,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.266666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.42424242424242,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.78571428571429,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 52,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1724137931034483,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.3089717171717155,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.0422666666666629,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.8844444444444406,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.5973777777777656,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.049599999999998,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0765858585858585,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 22.887000000000015,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6190476190476191,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.522365648104405,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.356770663741594,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.486373739878582,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.02687878787878789,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1363333333333333,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.3600000000000012,
"utr_p1": 0.4247058823529411,
"utr_p2": 0.46705882352941186,
"utr_advantage": -3.053435114503827,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}