Heather Watson vs Marina Stakusic
Puerto Vallarta, Mexico | Hard | Quarterfinals
28 Mar 2025, 21:00
28 Mar 2025, 21:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Heather … | Marina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Heather Watson
Ranking
#267
UTR Rating
11.68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#185
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
38% (8p)
WR Hard
12/29 = 41.4%
Marina Stakusic
Ranking
#130
UTR Rating
11.97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#116
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
27/52 = 51.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -137.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.4869 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.7197 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -315.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 76.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11.4788 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9.2054 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.5577 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 38.7879 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50.2667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42.4242 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51.7857 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 52.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.3090 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.0423 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.8844 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1.5974 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6.0496 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.0766 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 23.1360 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6190 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12.5224 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.3568 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8.2614 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0249 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1343 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4329 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4671 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.4524 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
2878
API ID
13638175
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Puerto Vallarta, Mexico
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2878,
"api_id": 13638175,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Heather Watson",
"player2": "Marina Stakusic",
"tournament": "Puerto Vallarta, Mexico",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-03-28T21:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 267,
"utr_singles": 11.68,
"utr_ranking": 185,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 37.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 130,
"utr_singles": 11.97,
"utr_ranking": 116,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.92307692307693,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 185,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -315,
"best_rank_diff": 76,
"surface_wr_diff": -11.478787878787877,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5576923076923077,
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"surface_wr_p1": 38.78787878787879,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.266666666666666,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.78571428571429,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 52,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1724137931034483,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.3089717171717155,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.0422666666666629,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.8844444444444406,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.5973777777777656,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.049599999999998,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0765858585858585,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 23.135999999999996,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6190476190476191,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.522365648104405,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.356770663741594,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.26144672634666,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.02487878787878789,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1343333333333333,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.2900000000000009,
"utr_p1": 0.4329411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.46705882352941186,
"utr_advantage": -2.4524312896405998,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}