Pavel Kotov vs Mattia Bellucci
Marrakech | Clay | Round of 32
01 Apr 2025, 13:55
01 Apr 2025, 13:55
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Pavel … | Mattia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pavel Kotov
Ranking
#463
UTR Rating
14.24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#258
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
13/29 = 44.8%
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking
#74
UTR Rating
14.93 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
8/17 = 47.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -389.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.1598 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.8337 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -670.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 13.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10.3730 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1.6595 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.7059 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 32.0556 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42.4286 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45.4545 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47.6190 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.1034 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2.8839 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2.4200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.2600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5.2600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.1200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.7079 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 36.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 25.2490 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 12.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.0403 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.1932 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5385 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11.8695 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1.7827 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 19.0206 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2096 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.4647 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.6900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7341 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8153 | |
| utr_advantage | -4.7309 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
3058
API ID
13690444
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Marrakech
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 3058,
"api_id": 13690444,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Pavel Kotov",
"player2": "Mattia Bellucci",
"tournament": "Marrakech",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-04-01T13:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.24,
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"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 14.93,
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"wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
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"best_rank_diff": 13,
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"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.10344827586206896,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.8838730158730144,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.4200000000000017,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.260000000000005,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.260000000000005,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.1200000000000045,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.707936507936508,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"momentum_diff": 36.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 25.249,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 12,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0403225806451613,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1931818181818181,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.869519574677629,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.7827024646019265,
"surface_rank_synergy": 19.020604625975064,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2095555555555556,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.4647142857142857,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.6899999999999995,
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"utr_p2": 0.8152941176470588,
"utr_advantage": -4.730887898525879,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
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"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}