Pavel Kotov vs Mattia Bellucci
Marrakech | Clay | Round of 32
01 Abr 2025, 17:55
01 Abr 2025, 17:55
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Pavel … | Mattia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pavel Kotov
Ranking
#485
UTR Rating
14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#268
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
2/9 = 22,2%
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking
#76
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#122
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
3/10 = 30,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -409,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1567 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,8534 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -669,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 13,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,3730 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,6595 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,7059 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 32,0556 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,4545 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,6190 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1034 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,8839 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,4200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,2600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,2600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,1200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,7079 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 36,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 25,2490 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 12,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0403 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1932 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5385 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,8695 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1,7827 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 19,2255 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2296 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4847 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7341 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7941 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,5185 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3058
API ID
13690444
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Marrakech
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3058,
"api_id": 13690444,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Pavel Kotov",
"player2": "Mattia Bellucci",
"tournament": "Marrakech",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-04-01T13:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 485,
"utr_singles": 14.24,
"utr_ranking": 268,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 22.22222222222222,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 76,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 122,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 30.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.24,
"ranking": 268,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.75,
"ranking": 122,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -409,
"rank_ratio": 0.15670103092783505,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.853415550651152,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -669,
"best_rank_diff": 13,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.373015873015873,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.659451659451656,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.7058823529411764,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 32.05555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.42857142857143,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.45454545454545,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.61904761904761,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.10344827586206896,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.8838730158730144,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.4200000000000017,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.260000000000005,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.260000000000005,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.1200000000000045,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.707936507936508,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"momentum_diff": 36.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 25.249,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 12,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0403225806451613,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1931818181818181,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.869519574677629,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.7827024646019265,
"surface_rank_synergy": 19.225508926198856,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.22955555555555562,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.4847142857142857,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5099999999999998,
"utr_p1": 0.7341176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.7941176470588235,
"utr_advantage": -3.518454639530871,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}