Varvara Gracheva vs Elise Mertens
Charleston | Clay | Round of 32
03 Abr 2025, 03:50
03 Abr 2025, 03:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Varvara … | Elise … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Varvara Gracheva
Ranking
#77
UTR Rating
12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
7/13 = 53,8%
Elise Mertens
Ranking
#21
UTR Rating
12,45 Pro
UTR Ranking
#27
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
3/6 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -56,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2727 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,2993 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1069,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -27,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 6,0256 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,2143 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,5833 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,0256 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1613 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7300 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,4367 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,5300 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,4100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,3500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,2744 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,4050 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7523 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5660 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0331 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,3482 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -7,8290 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1163 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0560 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4800 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5235 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,0167 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3146
API ID
13676536
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Charleston
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3146,
"api_id": 13676536,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Varvara Gracheva",
"player2": "Elise Mertens",
"tournament": "Charleston",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-04-02T23:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 77,
"utr_singles": 12.08,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 21,
"utr_singles": 12.45,
"utr_ranking": 27,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.08,
"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.45,
"ranking": 27,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.2727272727272727,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.2992829841302609,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -1069,
"best_rank_diff": -27,
"surface_wr_diff": 6.025641025641022,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.214285714285711,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.5833333333333335,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.02564102564102,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.16129032258064516,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"combined_confidence": 0.73,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.436717948717934,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.529999999999994,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.4100000000000037,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.3000000000000185,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.3500000000000014,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.2743589743589745,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"momentum_diff": 10.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.4050000000000011,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 10,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7522935779816514,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5660377358490566,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.033105381890597,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.348239014204847,
"surface_rank_synergy": -7.829012853092593,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11625641025641031,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05600000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.3699999999999992,
"utr_p1": 0.48,
"utr_p2": 0.5235294117647058,
"utr_advantage": -3.0167142274765526,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}