Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino
Houston | Clay | Round of 16
04 Abr 2025, 04:50
04 Abr 2025, 04:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Adrian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Michelsen
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#87
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
2/7 = 28,6%
Adrian Mannarino
Ranking
#69
UTR Rating
15,37 Pro
UTR Ranking
#41
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Clay
5/13 = 38,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 31,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,8158 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5965 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 540,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -13,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,3077 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,9596 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1111 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 29,2308 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 26,9231 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 31,8182 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,1315 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,0900 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,0400 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,5800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,8100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,1492 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,9040 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3614 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4318 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,6866 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,8054 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,3766 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2387 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1998 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 2,3077 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8671 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,6399 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3179
API ID
13675913
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Houston
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3179,
"api_id": 13675913,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex Michelsen",
"player2": "Adrian Mannarino",
"tournament": "Houston",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-04-04T00:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.12,
"utr_ranking": 87,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 69,
"utr_singles": 15.37,
"utr_ranking": 41,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 38.46153846153847,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 87,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 41,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.8157894736842106,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5965203448708737,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 540,
"best_rank_diff": -13,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.3076923076922995,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.9595959595959576,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1111111111111112,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 29.230769230769226,
"surface_wr_p2": 26.923076923076927,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 31.818181818181817,
"p1_surface_matches": 20,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.4,
"p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"combined_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.1314615384615294,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.089999999999989,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.040000000000013,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.5800000000000125,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.8099999999999952,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.1492307692307695,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.9040000000000106,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3614457831325301,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4318181818181818,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.686623095433687,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.805385170256497,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.376585411240473,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.23869230769230776,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1997692307692307,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 2.3076923076922995,
"utr_diff": -0.25,
"utr_p1": 0.8376470588235293,
"utr_p2": 0.8670588235294117,
"utr_advantage": -1.6398819285011481,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}