Jelena Ostapenko vs Danielle Collins
Charleston | Clay | Round of 16
03 Abr 2025, 21:10
03 Abr 2025, 21:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jelena … | Danielle … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranking
#24
UTR Rating
12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
3/6 = 50,0%
Danielle Collins
Ranking
#67
UTR Rating
12,28 Pro
UTR Ranking
#46
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
5/8 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 43,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,7917 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,0266 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 746,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 2,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -12,4167 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,1667 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6154 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,4167 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1250 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,3057 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,0400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,2300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,3800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,8400 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,1083 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -22,2040 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9512 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9492 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,2545 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,5754 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -12,7474 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0130 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1972 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -12,4167 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4824 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5035 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,4766 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3187
API ID
13676509
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Charleston
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3187,
"api_id": 13676509,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jelena Ostapenko",
"player2": "Danielle Collins",
"tournament": "Charleston",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-04-03T17:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 24,
"utr_singles": 12.1,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 67,
"utr_singles": 12.28,
"utr_ranking": 46,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.1,
"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.28,
"ranking": 46,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 2.7916666666666665,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.0266387890430204,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 746,
"best_rank_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -12.416666666666657,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.166666666666655,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6153846153846154,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.41666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.00000000000001,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.125,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.7,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.30566666666666,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.039999999999992,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.230000000000011,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.380000000000003,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.839999999999996,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.1083333333333334,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"momentum_diff": -28.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -22.204,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9512195121951219,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9491525423728814,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.254487679210198,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.575358255268123,
"surface_rank_synergy": -12.747431630617493,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0129999999999999,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1971666666666665,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -12.416666666666657,
"utr_diff": -0.17999999999999972,
"utr_p1": 0.48235294117647054,
"utr_p2": 0.5035294117647058,
"utr_advantage": -1.4766201804757975,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}