Alex Michelsen vs Frances Tiafoe
Houston | Clay | Quarterfinals
05 Abr 2025, 05:40
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alex … Frances … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Michelsen
Ranking #38
UTR Rating 15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking #87
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 2/7 = 28,6%
Frances Tiafoe
Ranking #34
UTR Rating 15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #62
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 11/18 = 61,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -4,0000
rank_ratio 0,8947
log_rank_ratio -0,1112
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -150,0000
best_rank_diff -20,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -27,1834
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -17,3232
surface_matches_ratio 0,6897
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 29,2308
surface_wr_p2 56,4141
surface_wr_p1_stable 33,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,5455
p1_surface_matches 20,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6667
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,8167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -12,8705
first_serve_won_diff -7,6600
second_serve_won_diff -9,4100
bp_saved_diff 1,2600
bp_converted_diff 2,8800
aces_per_match_diff -3,1087
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 9,5000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3614
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,3077
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4286
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 13,0488
serve_consistency_p2 7,5531
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,0235
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2037
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0601
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0600
utr_p1 0,8376
utr_p2 0,8447
utr_advantage -0,3960
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 3212
API ID 13675918
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Houston
Superficie Clay
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 3212,
    "api_id": 13675918,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alex Michelsen",
    "player2": "Frances Tiafoe",
    "tournament": "Houston",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-04-05T01:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 38,
      "utr_singles": 15.12,
      "utr_ranking": 87,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 34,
      "utr_singles": 15.18,
      "utr_ranking": 62,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.12,
      "ranking": 87,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.18,
      "ranking": 62,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -4,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8947368421052632,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.11122563511022437,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": -150,
    "best_rank_diff": -20,
    "surface_wr_diff": -27.183372183372185,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -17.32323232323232,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6896551724137931,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 29.230769230769226,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.41414141414141,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "p1_surface_matches": 20,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.4,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
    "serve_quality_diff": -12.870482517482529,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.660000000000011,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -9.410000000000004,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.259999999999991,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.8800000000000026,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.1087412587412584,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_diff": 9.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.5,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3614457831325301,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.3076923076923077,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.048768486582764,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.553147039375527,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.023487835533178,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.20369230769230773,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06014141414141416,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.0600000000000005,
    "utr_p1": 0.8376470588235293,
    "utr_p2": 0.8447058823529412,
    "utr_advantage": -0.39603960396039933,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}