Jessica Pegula vs Danielle Collins
Charleston | Clay | Quarterfinals
04 Abr 2025, 19:00
04 Abr 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jessica … | Danielle … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
12,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
5/9 = 55,6%
Danielle Collins
Ranking
#67
UTR Rating
12,28 Pro
UTR Ranking
#46
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
5/8 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 61,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 11,1667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,4129 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 4458,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11,5278 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,7556 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4231 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,8889 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,4167 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6567 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,5718 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,8500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,7300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -12,6600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,1300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,9639 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,3000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0345 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9492 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,5938 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,4330 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -27,8158 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0221 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2152 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -34,5833 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5035 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,7555 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3216
API ID
13676529
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Charleston
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3216,
"api_id": 13676529,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jessica Pegula",
"player2": "Danielle Collins",
"tournament": "Charleston",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-04-04T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 12.75,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 67,
"utr_singles": 12.28,
"utr_ranking": 46,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.75,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.28,
"ranking": 46,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 61,
"rank_ratio": 11.166666666666666,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.412933150162911,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"points_diff": 4458,
"best_rank_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": -11.527777777777771,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.75555555555555,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.4230769230769231,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.888888888888886,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.41666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
"p1_surface_matches": 11,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.6566666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.571777777777775,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.8499999999999943,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.729999999999997,
"bp_saved_diff": -12.660000000000004,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.130000000000003,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.963888888888889,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.29999999999999716,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 8,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0344827586206897,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9491525423728814,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.5938298836558,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.433001127424587,
"surface_rank_synergy": -27.815757147711324,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.02211111111111108,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2151666666666665,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -34.583333333333314,
"utr_diff": 0.47000000000000064,
"utr_p1": 0.5588235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.5035294117647058,
"utr_advantage": 3.7554934079105124,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}