Reilly Opelka vs Matteo Arnaldi
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 16
02 Jan 2025, 02:25
02 Jan 2025, 02:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Reilly … | Matteo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Reilly Opelka
Ranking
#50
UTR Rating
15.33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
24/47 = 51.1%
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
15.42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
33/65 = 50.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 11.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.2200 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.1989 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 143.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 13.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0.3769 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0.2558 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7231 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49.8769 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.9804 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.7246 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 47.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 65.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0213 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 23.6305 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6.3804 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.5878 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9.9226 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4.8728 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 9.6820 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.0270 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7625 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4412 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6897 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0.0749 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0160 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0098 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -0.3769 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8624 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8729 | |
| utr_advantage | -0.5854 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
323
API ID
13271039
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-01-02T02:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
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"player_stats": {
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"serve_quality_diff": 23.63054166666666,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.027027027027027,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4411764705882353,
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"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
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"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
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"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
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"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
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"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
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"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
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"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
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