Juan Pablo Varillas vs Gonzalo Bueno
Campinas, Brazil | Clay | Quarterfinals
04 Apr 2025, 22:05
04 Apr 2025, 22:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Juan … | Gonzalo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Pablo Varillas
Ranking
#257
UTR Rating
14.29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#233
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
50/89 = 56.2%
Gonzalo Bueno
Ranking
#212
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
83% (6p)
WR Clay
63/115 = 54.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -45.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.8249 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.1925 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -64.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 145.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 3.7253 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1.2921 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7739 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 59.0904 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55.3652 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55.9140 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54.6218 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 89.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 115.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1236 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9.5346 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7.6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.0200 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5.2800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.1300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2.7143 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1.4200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5405 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4688 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.0151 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.2616 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0.7171 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1359 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0087 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7400 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
3237
API ID
13676478
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Campinas, Brazil
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3237,
"api_id": 13676478,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Juan Pablo Varillas",
"player2": "Gonzalo Bueno",
"tournament": "Campinas, Brazil",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-04-04T22:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 257,
"utr_singles": 14.29,
"utr_ranking": 233,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.17977528089888,
"wr_surface_wins": 50,
"wr_surface_total": 89,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 212,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.78260869565217,
"wr_surface_wins": 63,
"wr_surface_total": 115,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 233,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": null,
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}
},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -0.1924898102232074,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -64,
"best_rank_diff": 145,
"surface_wr_diff": 3.7252509544049275,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.2921297551278528,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7739130434782608,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 55.365185636031654,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.91397849462365,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.621848739495796,
"p1_surface_matches": 89,
"p2_surface_matches": 115,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.12359550561797752,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.534644485583009,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.599999999999994,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.0200000000000031,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.280000000000001,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.13000000000000256,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.714322242791506,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.420000000000016,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5405405405405406,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.46875,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.015108397871627,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.261603638109433,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.7170728492472268,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13590436590436583,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.008651856360316512,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.7399999999999999,
"utr_p2": 0.7399999999999999,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}