Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
Charleston | Clay | Semifinals
05 Abr 2025, 21:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jessica … Ekaterina … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 12,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Clay 5/9 = 55,6%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranking #11
UTR Rating 12,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 7/10 = 70,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 5,0000
rank_ratio 1,8333
log_rank_ratio 0,6061
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 2078,0000
best_rank_diff 7,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -0,1111
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,6333
surface_matches_ratio 0,6875
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,8889
surface_wr_p2 54,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 11,0000
p2_surface_matches 16,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0909
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4467
p2_confidence 0,5333
combined_confidence 0,4900
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,1971
first_serve_won_diff 0,3300
second_serve_won_diff -2,1700
bp_saved_diff -1,2200
bp_converted_diff 1,8900
aces_per_match_diff -0,8556
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 8,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0345
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8750
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5714
serve_consistency_p1 9,1757
serve_consistency_p2 11,7371
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,0673
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0339
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0450
elite_surface_amplifier -0,1111
UTR
utr_diff 0,0100
utr_p1 0,5588
utr_p2 0,5576
utr_advantage 0,0785
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 3250
API ID 13676521
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Charleston
Superficie Clay
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 3250,
    "api_id": 13676521,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jessica Pegula",
    "player2": "Ekaterina Alexandrova",
    "tournament": "Charleston",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-04-05T17:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 6,
      "utr_singles": 12.75,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 11,
      "utr_singles": 12.74,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.74,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6061358035703155,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "points_diff": 2078,
    "best_rank_diff": 7,
    "surface_wr_diff": -0.11111111111111427,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.6333333333333344,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6875,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.888888888888886,
    "surface_wr_p2": 54.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 11,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
    "p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.49,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.197111111111113,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.3299999999999983,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.1699999999999946,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.2199999999999989,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.8900000000000006,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.8555555555555556,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 8,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0344827586206897,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.875,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.175722325470572,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.737088597102595,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.06734842261892586,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03388888888888886,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04500000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.11111111111111427,
    "utr_diff": 0.009999999999999787,
    "utr_p1": 0.5588235294117647,
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    "utr_advantage": 0.07846214201647536,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}