Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
Charleston | Clay | Semifinals
05 Apr 2025, 17:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jessica … Ekaterina … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 12.78 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Clay 6/11 = 54.5%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranking #10
UTR Rating 12.80 Pro
UTR Ranking #6
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 8/16 = 50.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 4.0000
rank_ratio 1.6667
log_rank_ratio 0.5108
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 2208.0000
best_rank_diff 7.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -0.1111
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1.6333
surface_matches_ratio 0.6875
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 53.8889
surface_wr_p2 54.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 53.3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.0000
p1_surface_matches 11.0000
p2_surface_matches 16.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0909
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.4467
p2_confidence 0.5333
combined_confidence 0.4900
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2.1971
first_serve_won_diff 0.3300
second_serve_won_diff -2.1700
bp_saved_diff -1.2200
bp_converted_diff 1.8900
aces_per_match_diff -0.8556
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 92.0000
momentum_p2 90.0000
momentum_diff 2.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 8.0000
match_load_p2 3.0000
match_load_diff 5.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1.0000
h2h_matches 1.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.0000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.0000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.0345
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.8750
tiebreak_wr_p1 1.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5714
serve_consistency_p1 9.1757
serve_consistency_p2 11.7371
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0.0568
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0349
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0440
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.0200
utr_p1 0.5624
utr_p2 0.5647
utr_advantage -0.1564
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 3250
API ID 13676521
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Charleston
Superficie Clay
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 3250,
    "api_id": 13676521,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jessica Pegula",
    "player2": "Ekaterina Alexandrova",
    "tournament": "Charleston",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-04-05T17:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "wr_surface": 50.0,
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      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  "utr": {
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    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 6,
      "division": "Pro",
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  },
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    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6875,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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    "surface_wr_p2": 54.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 11,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
    "p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.49,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.197111111111113,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.3299999999999983,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.1699999999999946,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.2199999999999989,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.8900000000000006,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.8555555555555556,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
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    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 8,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0344827586206897,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.875,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.175722325470572,
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    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
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    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
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    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
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    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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}