Tomas Machac vs Sebastián Báez
Monte Carlo | Clay | Round of 64
08 Apr 2025, 12:45
08 Apr 2025, 12:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tomas … | Sebastián … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomas Machac
Ranking
#32
UTR Rating
15.52 Pro
UTR Ranking
#50
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
11/21 = 52.4%
Sebastián Báez
Ranking
#45
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
39/63 = 61.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 13.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.4063 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.3409 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 290.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -2.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -17.8439 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7.8149 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 39.2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57.1296 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61.1940 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 63.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0476 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.8500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7.3937 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3.5700 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.9700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -12.0900 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.1600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2.3589 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 18.1000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 14.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8462 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8242 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11.4009 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.8227 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -6.0835 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1201 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0843 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8847 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
3299
API ID
13718047
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Monte Carlo
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"api_id": 13718047,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Tomas Machac",
"player2": "Sebasti\u00e1n B\u00e1ez",
"tournament": "Monte Carlo",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-04-08T12:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
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"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_wins": 11,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
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"p2": {
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"wr_surface": 61.904761904761905,
"wr_surface_wins": 39,
"wr_surface_total": 63,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
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"utr": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": -2,
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"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.8149253731343284,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
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"surface_wr_p2": 57.12962962962962,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.0,
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"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 63,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.047619047619047616,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.85,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.39372486772487,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.569999999999993,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.970000000000013,
"bp_saved_diff": -12.089999999999996,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.1599999999999966,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.3588624338624338,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 22.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 18.099999999999994,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 14,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8461538461538461,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8241758241758241,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 11.400867925927509,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.822678378228271,
"surface_rank_synergy": -6.083465156393253,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.12014285714285716,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0842962962962962,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
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"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
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"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
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"utr_diff": "0.0422",
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"utr_p2": "0.012",
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}