Polina Kudermetova vs Daria Kasatkina
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 16
02 Ene 2025, 07:05
02 Ene 2025, 07:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Polina … | Daria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Polina Kudermetova
Ranking
#150
UTR Rating
11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#182
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (5p)
WR Hard
17/35 = 48,6%
Daria Kasatkina
Ranking
#43
UTR Rating
12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#58
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
12/25 = 48,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -107,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2867 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,2494 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -737,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -46,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,4923 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,8493 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9375 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,8000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,2923 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,5625 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,4118 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 60,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 64,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,4304 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,1636 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0913 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,2509 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,9177 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,6606 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7468 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6181 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3077 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 1,0834 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,6151 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1150 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0941 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4365 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,9347 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
332
API ID
13257873
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 332,
"api_id": 13257873,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Polina Kudermetova",
"player2": "Daria Kasatkina",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-01-02T03:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 150,
"utr_singles": 11.71,
"utr_ranking": 182,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 43,
"utr_singles": 12.18,
"utr_ranking": 58,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.71,
"ranking": 182,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.18,
"ranking": 58,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.2866666666666667,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.2494351784026934,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -737,
"best_rank_diff": -46,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.49230769230769056,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.849264705882348,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9375,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.8,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.29230769230769,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.5625,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.41176470588235,
"p1_surface_matches": 60,
"p2_surface_matches": 64,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.03333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.4304184615384585,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.163599999999995,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.09129230769231356,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.2509230769230726,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.9177230769230675,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.6606153846153848,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 100.0,
"momentum_diff": -2.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7468354430379747,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6181229773462783,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3076923076923077,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 1.0833876844259624,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.6151065493674777,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11499999999999999,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09407692307692306,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.46999999999999886,
"utr_p1": 0.4364705882352942,
"utr_p2": 0.4917647058823529,
"utr_advantage": -3.9347007115948,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}