Daniel Altmaier vs Carlos Alcaraz
Monte Carlo | Clay | Round of 16
10 Apr 2025, 12:05
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daniel … Carlos … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniel Altmaier
Ranking #46
UTR Rating 15.62 Pro
UTR Ranking #49
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 32/60 = 53.3%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 16.42 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Clay 39/44 = 88.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -45.0000
rank_ratio 0.0217
log_rank_ratio -3.8286
rank_tier_advantage -2.0000
points_diff -10902.0000
best_rank_diff -45.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -33.2935
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -32.2917
surface_matches_ratio 1.3636
surface_tournaments_won_diff -4.0000
surface_wr_p1 57.9487
surface_wr_p2 91.2422
surface_wr_p1_stable 53.1250
surface_wr_p2_stable 85.4167
p1_surface_matches 60.0000
p2_surface_matches 44.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1.2052
first_serve_won_diff -1.8600
second_serve_won_diff -10.1900
bp_saved_diff 2.5400
bp_converted_diff -8.9500
aces_per_match_diff 2.5961
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.6667
momentum_p1 98.0000
momentum_p2 30.0000
momentum_diff 68.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 39.9000
current_streak_diff 6.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 19.0000
match_load_p1 5.0000
match_load_p2 0.0000
match_load_diff 5.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.1789
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.1761
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.4828
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.7000
serve_consistency_p1 13.5638
serve_consistency_p2 5.0443
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 127.4689
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1245
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.3674
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.8000
utr_p1 0.8965
utr_p2 0.9906
utr_advantage -4.9938
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 3320
API ID 13711154
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Monte Carlo
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 3320,
    "api_id": 13711154,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Daniel Altmaier",
    "player2": "Carlos Alcaraz",
    "tournament": "Monte Carlo",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-04-10T12:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": 15.62,
      "utr_ranking": 49,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 32,
      "wr_surface_total": 60,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 1,
      "utr_singles": 16.42,
      "utr_ranking": 2,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 88.63636363636364,
      "wr_surface_wins": 39,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.62,
      "ranking": 49,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 16.42,
      "ranking": 2,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -45,
    "rank_ratio": 0.021739130434782608,
    "log_rank_ratio": -3.828641396489095,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "points_diff": -10902,
    "best_rank_diff": -45,
    "surface_wr_diff": -33.29351807612677,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -32.29166666666666,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3636363636363635,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.94871794871794,
    "surface_wr_p2": 91.24223602484471,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.125,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 85.41666666666666,
    "p1_surface_matches": 60,
    "p2_surface_matches": 44,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.2052280617932851,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.8599999999999994,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -10.189999999999984,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.5400000000000063,
    "bp_converted_diff": -8.949999999999996,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.5961140308966395,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_diff": 67.99999999999999,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 39.9,
    "current_streak_diff": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 19,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1788990825688073,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1761252446183954,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4827586206896552,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.56379476271581,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.04431702220155,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 127.46894154101693,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12448717948717947,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3674223602484471,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.8000000000000025,
    "utr_p1": 0.896470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.9905882352941179,
    "utr_advantage": -4.9937578027465825,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}